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Targu Mures W vs Gloria Bistrita W

Romania Romania

Romanian Cup Women 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Negrusa D.
12' Event
Agu P.
21' Event
Negrusa D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-6, with Gloria Bistrita W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Targu Mures W
6%
Draws
90%
Gloria Bistrita W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gloria Bistrita W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gloria Bistrita W come out ahead of Targu Mures W on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Gloria Bistrita W taking it.
  • Gloria Bistrita W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gloria Bistrita W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gloria Bistrita W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Targu Mures W Clean Sheet 10%
Gloria Bistrita W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Targu Mures W Gloria Bistrita W
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 5 23
Draws 1 2
Losses 24 12
Goals Scored 0 3.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Superliga Women
Targu Mures W vs Gloria Bistrita W
1:4
Apr 25, 2024 Superliga Women
Gloria Bistrita W vs Targu Mures W
10:0
Mar 30, 2024 Superliga Women
Targu Mures W vs Gloria Bistrita W
0:5
Mar 20, 2024 Romanian Cup Women
Targu Mures W vs Gloria Bistrita W
2:6
Mar 10, 2024 Superliga Women
Gloria Bistrita W vs Targu Mures W
12:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Targu Mures W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Gloria Bistrita W Compare

Top Goalscorer Negrusa D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Agu P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Targu Mures W 10 / 100
Gloria Bistrita W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Targu Mures W Gloria Bistrita W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GLO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Gloria Bistrita W conceded in 65% of 37 recent games.

Recent resilience: Targu Mures W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Targu Mures W scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gloria Bistrita W
0 Goals Scored 3.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Targu Mures W

(Home)
25 May
Targu Mures W
3 : 0
Banat W
19 May
CSM Alexandria W
9 : 1
Targu Mures W
12 May
Targu Mures W
1 : 4
Gloria Bistrita W
08 May
Targu Mures W
5 : 1
Farul Constanta W
02 May
Banat W
0 : 3
Targu Mures W
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Gloria Bistrita W

(Away)
30 May
Gloria Bistrita W
10 : 0
Olimpia Gherla W
24 May
Unirea Alba Iulia W
1 : 2
Gloria Bistrita W
20 May
Gloria Bistrita W
1 : 1
Farul Constanta W
17 May
Vasas Odorhei W
2 : 3
Gloria Bistrita W
13 May
Farul Constanta W
1 : 0
Gloria Bistrita W
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Cluj W32016:46
2Miercurea Ciuc W320110:36
3Politehnica Timisoara W31112:34
4Banat W30122:101
Promotion - Romanian Cup Women 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gloria Bistrita W330016:29
2CSM Alexandria W32017:36
3Targu Mures W31027:123
4Farul Constanta W30032:150
Promotion - Romanian Cup Women 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vasas Odorhei W330019:39
2Rapid Bucuresti W320113:76
3Univ. Craiova W31027:123
4United Bihor W30031:180
Promotion - Romanian Cup Women 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams