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Tarpa vs Debrecen II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Northeast
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Makshaiev D.
(Penalty)
53' Event
Kristof P.
62' Event
Kohut M.

AI Match Summary

Debrecen II in this NB III - Northeast matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Debrecen II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Tarpa
15%
Draws
64%
Debrecen II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Debrecen II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Debrecen II lately — more wins on the board than Tarpa.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular NB III - Northeast form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Tarpa Clean Sheet 10%
Debrecen II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tarpa Debrecen II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 19
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.07 2.47
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 NB III - Northeast
Tarpa vs Debrecen II
1:2
Apr 19, 2026 NB III - Northeast
Debrecen II vs Tarpa
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 NB III - Northeast
Tarpa vs Debrecen II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tarpa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Debrecen II Compare

Top Goalscorer Kristof P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kohut M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tarpa 34 / 100
Debrecen II 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tarpa Debrecen II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Debrecen II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tarpa scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Debrecen II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Tarpa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tarpa VS Debrecen II
0.5 Goals Scored 2.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tarpa

(Home)
03 Oct
Tarpa
1 : 2
Debrecen II
26 Sept
Tarpa
2 : 0
Nyiregyhaza II
19 Sept
Tarpa
1 : 2
Salgotarjani BTC
06 Sept
Tarpa
0 : 1
Tiszafuredi
30 Aug
Cigand SE
3 : 1
Tarpa
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Debrecen II

(Away)
03 Oct
Tarpa
1 : 2
Debrecen II
26 Sept
Debrecen II
3 : 1
Tiszafuredi
19 Sept
Cigand SE
4 : 2
Debrecen II
05 Sept
Debrecen II
3 : 1
Tiszaujvaros
29 Aug
Ozd-Sajovolgye
5 : 2
Debrecen II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ozd-Sajovolgye 10 8 0 2 32:8 24
2 Cigand SE 10 7 2 1 24:9 23
3 Debreceni EAC 10 6 2 2 25:13 20
4 Kisvarda FC II 10 4 5 1 15:11 17
5 Debrecen II 10 5 1 4 25:21 16
6 Godollo 10 5 1 4 14:12 16
7 Eger 10 5 1 4 12:21 16
8 DVTK II 10 4 4 2 18:14 16
9 Mateszalkai MTK 10 4 4 2 17:14 16
10 Fuzesabony 10 5 0 5 10:11 15
11 Tiszaujvaros 10 4 1 5 12:13 13
12 Hajdunanas 10 3 1 6 17:27 10
13 Salgotarjani BTC 10 3 0 7 7:15 9
14 Tiszafuredi 10 3 0 7 6:15 9
15 Tarpa 10 2 0 8 8:22 6
16 Nyiregyhaza II 10 1 0 9 10:26 3
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)