Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tarpa vs Eger

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Northeast
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Peterson L.
17' Event
Varga J.
(Penalty)
64'
Zalan H.

AI Match Summary

Eger in this NB III - Northeast matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Tarpa
15%
Draws
48%
Eger
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Eger lately — more wins on the board than Tarpa.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Tarpa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Eger have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tarpa Clean Sheet 20%
Eger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tarpa Eger
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 12 15
Draws 9 3
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.31 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 NB III - Northeast
Tarpa vs Eger
1:2
Apr 26, 2026 NB III - Northeast
Tarpa vs Eger
2:0
Oct 12, 2025 NB III - Northeast
Eger vs Tarpa
2:0
Aug 26, 2023 Hungarian Cup
Tarpa vs Eger
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tarpa Compare

Top Goalscorer Sztasz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Eger Compare

Top Goalscorer Peterson L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tarpa 36 / 100
Eger 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tarpa Eger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eger's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 34 matches.

Tarpa scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Tarpa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tarpa VS Eger
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tarpa

(Home)
12 Aug
Debreceni EAC
4 : 0
Tarpa
09 Aug
Tarpa
1 : 2
Eger
26 Jul
Tarpa
2 : 1
Fuzesabony
24 May
Tiszaujvaros
1 : 1
Tarpa
17 May
Tarpa
2 : 1
DVTK II
Page 1 of 6

Eger

(Away)
12 Aug
Eger
1 : 0
Tiszafuredi
09 Aug
Tarpa
1 : 2
Eger
26 Jul
Cigand SE
0 : 1
Eger
08 Jul
Mezokovesd-Zsory
2 : 0
Eger
24 May
Putnok VSE
4 : 1
Eger
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Debreceni EAC 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Eger 4 4 0 0 6:2 12
3 Ozd-Sajovolgye 4 3 0 1 7:2 9
4 Kisvarda FC II 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
5 Mateszalkai MTK 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
6 Cigand SE 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
7 Godollo 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
8 Fuzesabony 4 2 0 2 4:4 6
9 Debrecen II 3 1 0 2 8:7 3
10 Nyiregyhaza II 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
11 Salgotarjani BTC 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
12 Tiszaujvaros 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
13 Tarpa 4 1 0 3 3:11 3
14 DVTK II 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
15 Hajdunanas 3 0 0 3 4:10 0
16 Tiszafuredi 4 0 0 4 0:6 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)