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Tarpa vs Harta SE - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Herman S.
23' Event
Stratan O.
37' Event
Stratan O.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-0, with Tarpa advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Tarpa
15%
Draws
64%
Harta SE
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harta SE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Tarpa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Tarpa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tarpa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Tarpa Clean Sheet 20%
Harta SE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tarpa Harta SE
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 9 3
Draws 8 0
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.17 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2024 Hungarian Cup
Tarpa vs Harta SE
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tarpa Compare

Top Goalscorer Stratan O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mykhalchuk A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Harta SE Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tarpa 36 / 100
Harta SE 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tarpa Harta SE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harta SE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harta SE's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 8 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Tarpa scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Tarpa has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tarpa VS Harta SE
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tarpa

(Home)
03 Oct
Tarpa
1 : 2
Debrecen II
26 Sept
Tarpa
2 : 0
Nyiregyhaza II
19 Sept
Tarpa
1 : 2
Salgotarjani BTC
06 Sept
Tarpa
0 : 1
Tiszafuredi
30 Aug
Cigand SE
3 : 1
Tarpa
Page 1 of 6

Harta SE

(Away)
12 Sept
Harta SE
0 : 1
Bicskei
22 Aug
Penzugyor SE
1 : 2
Harta SE
14 Sept
Tarpa
5 : 0
Harta SE
24 Aug
Harta SE
3 : 2
Janoshalmi
03 Aug
Harta SE
6 : 0
Fuzesgyarmati
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Sarvari FC 1
Zalalovoi 0
Vitnyed 0
Balatonfuredi 3
Babolnai 1
Sopron 16
VSC Veszprem 1
Komaromi VSE 0
Diosjeno 1
MVSC 4
Eger 2
Senyo 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Soroksar -
Rabatotfalui 0
Zalaszentgroti 6
Balatonalmadi 3
Haladas 0
Gyorszentivan 2
Papai Perutz 4
Kiraly SE 0
Mori SE 1
Nagybajom 2
Mohacsi 3
III. Keruleti TVE 3
Bicskei 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kisvarda FC -
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Csakvari -
Bekescsaba 1912 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Debrecen -
Peti 1
Kelen 2
Himeshaza 0
Szekszardi 12
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Honved -
Szakonyfalu 0
Mezoors 22
Sopte 0
Abda 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paks -
Jaszfenyszarui 5
Baktaloranthaza 0
Hehalom 0
Karcagi 4
Faddi 3
Diosdi TC 0
Dunaujvaros 3
Unione 1
Kozarmisleny SE -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kecskemeti TE -
Pecsvarad 0
Somogysard 3
Kakasd 0
Pecsi MFC 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Szentlorinc SE -
Maklar 1
Ujfeherto 3
Gesztely 0
Hatvan FC 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zalaegerszegi -
Bonyhad 0
PTE-PEAC 1
Nagykanizsa FC 1
Gardony Varosi 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajka -
Vasas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nyiregyhaza -
Testveriseg 1
Algyo SK 0
OMTK-ULE 1
Tiszafoldvar 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tatabanya -
Ustokos Bacsa 0
Koronco 4
Nyergesujfalu 0
Haladas VSE 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
Hajdunanas 0
Salgotarjani BTC 1
Vizslasi 0
Putnok VSE 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyor -
Urkut 2
Csesztreg 4
Teskand 2
Mosonmagyarovari TE 9
Sarbogard 1
Budaorsi SC 2
Harkany SE 1
Majosi 5
Inter 04 2
Patka 4
Viadukt SE Biatorbagy 0
Kaposvar 2
Karancslapujto 2
Hajdusamsoni 1
Hidasnemeti 0
Tiszafuredi 19
Budafoki MTE -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Nyiradony 2
Godollo 3
Tallya 0
Cigand SE 3
Bakonycsernye 1
Sarisapi Banyasz 0
Tihanyi 2
Csornai 3
Nagyatadi 3
Siofok 0
Erdi 2
Dunafoldvar 0
Bode 0
Vep VSE 6
Labatlani 0
Dorogi FC 5
Sarospataki TC 1
Monostorpalyi 5
Lorinci 0
Debreceni EAC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BVSC-Zuglo -
Femalk-Dunavarsany 2
Gyulai Termal 1
Cegledi 1
Csepel 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ujpest -
1908 SZAC KSE 5
Torokszentmiklos 0
Pilisi 1
Martfui LSE 3
Kalocsai FC 0
Tiszasziget 2
FC Dabas 0
ESMTK Budapest 2
Szegedi 0
BKV Elore 2
Gyomaendrodi 0
Dunaharaszti MTK 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyirmot FC Gyor -
Szajol 0
Szolnoki MAV 4
Monori 1
Penzugyor SE 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Videoton -
Kazincbarcika -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
DVTK -
Gyongyosi 0
Fuzesabony 2
Borsod SK 1
Tiszaujvaros 8
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Szeged-Csanad GA -
Mezomegyer 4
Lajosmizsei 2
REAC 0
Hodmezovasarhely 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
MTK Budapest -
Nagyecsed 0
Tarpa 1
Nyirbator 0
Mateszalkai MTK 4
Harta SE 6
Fuzesgyarmati 0
Janoshalmi 4
Kunbaja 0
Marcali 2
Ercsi 3
Bolyi 1
Ivancsa 4
Duna SK 3
Korosladany MSK 0
Sandorfalvi 2
Tiszakecske 4
1/64-finals
Sarvari FC 1
Balatonfuredi 0
Sopron 2
VSC Veszprem 1
MVSC 2
Eger 3
TBD -
Soroksar -
Zalaszentgroti 0
Balatonalmadi 1
Papai Perutz 5
Mori SE 2
Mohacsi 0
III. Keruleti TVE 3
TBD -
Kisvarda FC -
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
TBD -
TBD -
Csakvari -
Bekescsaba 1912 -
TBD -
TBD -
Debrecen -
Kelen 2
Szekszardi 0
TBD -
Honved -
Mezoors 2
Abda 0
TBD -
Paks -
Jaszfenyszarui 0
Karcagi 4
Faddi 1
Dunaujvaros 11
Kozarmisleny SE -
TBD -
TBD -
Kecskemeti TE -
Somogysard 1
Pecsi MFC 9
TBD -
Szentlorinc SE -
Ujfeherto 0
Hatvan FC 3
TBD -
Zalaegerszegi -
PTE-PEAC 1
Nagykanizsa FC 2
TBD -
Ajka -
Vasas -
TBD -
TBD -
Nyiregyhaza -
Testveriseg 1
Tiszafoldvar 0
TBD -
Tatabanya -
Koronco 2
Haladas VSE 4
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
Salgotarjani BTC 0
Putnok VSE 1
TBD -
Gyor -
Csesztreg 1
Mosonmagyarovari TE 2
Budaorsi SC 3
Majosi 2
Patka 2
Kaposvar 9
Karancslapujto 1
Tiszafuredi 4
Budafoki MTE -
TBD -
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Godollo 1
Cigand SE 0
Bakonycsernye 1
Csornai 9
Nagyatadi 1
Erdi 3
Vep VSE 1
Dorogi FC 3
Monostorpalyi 0
Debreceni EAC 3
TBD -
BVSC-Zuglo -
Femalk-Dunavarsany 4
Csepel 2
TBD -
Ujpest -
1908 SZAC KSE 2
Martfui LSE 1
Tiszasziget 1
ESMTK Budapest 2
BKV Elore 5
Dunaharaszti MTK 0
TBD -
Gyirmot FC Gyor -
Szolnoki MAV 2
Monori 3
TBD -
Videoton -
Kazincbarcika -
TBD -
TBD -
DVTK -
Fuzesabony 1
Tiszaujvaros 0
TBD -
Szeged-Csanad GA -
Mezomegyer 1
Hodmezovasarhely 4
TBD -
MTK Budapest -
Tarpa 2
Mateszalkai MTK 1
Harta SE 3
Janoshalmi 2
Ercsi 2
Ivancsa 7
Duna SK 0
Tiszakecske 15
1/32-finals
Sarvari FC 0
Sopron 2
Eger 0
Soroksar 4
Balatonalmadi 1
Papai Perutz 0
III. Keruleti TVE 0
Kisvarda FC 1
Mezokovesd-Zsory 3
Csakvari 1
Bekescsaba 1912 0
Debrecen 4
Kelen 1
Honved 5
Mezoors 0
Paks 3
Karcagi 6
Dunaujvaros 0
Kozarmisleny SE 0
Kecskemeti TE 4
Pecsi MFC 3
Szentlorinc SE 4
Hatvan FC 0
Zalaegerszegi 4
Nagykanizsa FC 2
Ajka 3
Vasas 1
Nyiregyhaza 2
Testveriseg 0
Tatabanya 2
Haladas VSE 0
Puskas Academy 7
Putnok VSE 2
Gyor 6
Mosonmagyarovari TE 3
Budaorsi SC 2
Kaposvar 1
Tiszafuredi 2
Budafoki MTE 0
Ferencvaros 3
Godollo 2
Csornai 1
Erdi 0
Dorogi FC 1
Debreceni EAC 0
BVSC-Zuglo 2
Femalk-Dunavarsany 0
Ujpest 7
1908 SZAC KSE 1
ESMTK Budapest 2
BKV Elore 1
Gyirmot FC Gyor 5
Monori 0
Videoton 2
Kazincbarcika 2
DVTK 4
Fuzesabony 1
Szeged-Csanad GA 2
Hodmezovasarhely 0
MTK Budapest 2
Tarpa 5
Harta SE 0
Ivancsa 4
Tiszakecske 0
1/16-finals
Sopron 3
Soroksar 2
Balatonalmadi 0
Kisvarda FC 4
Mezokovesd-Zsory 1
Debrecen 0
Honved 1
Paks 5
Karcagi 1
Kecskemeti TE 0
Szentlorinc SE 1
Zalaegerszegi 2
Ajka 3
Nyiregyhaza 4
Tatabanya 2
Puskas Academy 3
Gyor 3
Mosonmagyarovari TE 0
Tiszafuredi 1
Ferencvaros 2
Godollo 1
Dorogi FC 2
BVSC-Zuglo 0
Ujpest 1
ESMTK Budapest 1
Gyirmot FC Gyor 3
Videoton 2
DVTK 1
Szeged-Csanad GA 0
MTK Budapest 3
Tarpa 0
Ivancsa 5
1/8-finals
Sopron 0
Kisvarda FC 3
Mezokovesd-Zsory 0
Paks 3
Karcagi 1
Zalaegerszegi 2
Nyiregyhaza 1
Puskas Academy 0
Gyor 3
Ferencvaros 4
Dorogi FC 0
Ujpest 1
Gyirmot FC Gyor 0
Videoton 2
MTK Budapest 2
Ivancsa 0
Quarter-finals
Kisvarda FC 0
Paks 1
Zalaegerszegi 2
Nyiregyhaza 0
Ferencvaros 3
Ujpest 1
Videoton 2
MTK Budapest 4
Semi-finals
Paks 2
Zalaegerszegi 1
Ferencvaros 3
MTK Budapest 1
Final
Paks 2
Ferencvaros 1