Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tarpa vs Hatvan FC

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Northeast 2025/2026
Tarpa Logo

Tarpa

3 - 1
FT
Hatvan FC Logo

Hatvan FC

Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Mykhalchuk A.
41' Event
Pryhoda P.
(Penalty)
48' Event
Herman S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tarpa in this NB III - Northeast 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tarpa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Tarpa
15%
Draws
85%
Hatvan FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hatvan FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Tarpa have won more games recently than Hatvan FC.
  • Hatvan FC are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular NB III - Northeast 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Tarpa Clean Sheet 14%
Hatvan FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tarpa Hatvan FC
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 7
Draws 9 0
Losses 12 24
Goals Scored 1 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.65
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 NB III - Northeast
Tarpa vs Hatvan FC
3:1
Oct 19, 2025 NB III - Northeast
Hatvan FC vs Tarpa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tarpa Compare

Top Goalscorer Herman S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Hatvan FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Vince A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tarpa 27 / 100
Hatvan FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tarpa Hatvan FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hatvan FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hatvan FC let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Tarpa's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Hatvan FC's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tarpa VS Hatvan FC
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.71
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Tarpa

(Home)
06 Sept
Tarpa
0 : 1
Tiszafuredi
30 Aug
Cigand SE
3 : 1
Tarpa
26 Aug
Tarpa
0 : 3
Tiszaujvaros
22 Aug
Emodi
2 : 1
Tarpa
15 Aug
Ozd-Sajovolgye
4 : 0
Tarpa
Page 1 of 6

Hatvan FC

(Away)
12 Sept
Hatvan FC
1 : 4
Kaposvar
22 Aug
Mezocsat
3 : 5
Hatvan FC
24 May
DVTK II
3 : 2
Hatvan FC
17 May
Hatvan FC
1 : 2
Putnok VSE
10 May
Hatvan FC
2 : 3
Eger
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kisvarda FC II 30 20 7 3 60:22 67
2 Cigand SE 30 18 7 5 66:30 61
3 Debreceni EAC 30 18 7 5 63:29 61
4 Tiszafuredi 30 16 8 6 61:36 56
5 Debrecen II 30 16 7 7 66:40 55
6 Tarpa 30 12 11 7 39:28 47
7 Godollo 30 11 7 12 52:44 40
8 DVTK II 30 11 5 14 48:58 38
9 Nyiregyhaza II 30 11 4 15 65:56 37
10 Eger 30 11 4 15 46:71 37
11 Tiszaujvaros 30 9 7 14 41:66 34
12 Putnok VSE 30 9 5 16 44:52 32
13 Fuzesabony 30 7 9 14 25:41 30
14 Ozd-Sajovolgye 30 7 8 15 51:68 29
15 Senyo 30 7 7 16 32:74 28
16 Hatvan FC 30 5 1 24 37:81 16
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)