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Stadium Background

Tarsus vs Gumushanespor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 Tarsus City Stadium, Tarsus
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Pala K.
30' Event
Kilic A.
81' Event
Cildir O.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 game between Tarsus and Gumushanespor finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gumushanespor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tarsus
20%
Draws
40%
Gumushanespor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gumushanespor come out ahead of Tarsus on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Gumushanespor's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Tarsus Clean Sheet 10%
Gumushanespor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tarsus Gumushanespor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 4
Draws 4 11
Losses 24 15
Goals Scored 0.7 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.97 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Tarsus vs Gumushanespor
1:2
Nov 5, 2023 3. Lig Group 1
Gumushanespor vs Tarsus
0:0
Feb 15, 2020 2. Lig White Group
Tarsus vs Gumushanespor
3:1
Oct 5, 2019 2. Lig White Group
Gumushanespor vs Tarsus
0:1
Apr 17, 2016 2. Lig Red Group
Tarsus vs Gumushanespor
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tarsus Compare

Top Goalscorer Cildir O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Gumushanespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Pala K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kilic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tarsus 10 / 100
Gumushanespor 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tarsus Gumushanespor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gumushanespor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gumushanespor has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: Gumushanespor registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tarsus scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Tarsus VS Gumushanespor
1 Goals Scored 1.38
4.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tarsus

(Home)
27 Apr
Tarsus
1 : 1
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
21 Apr
Inegol Kafkas
3 : 1
Tarsus
14 Apr
Tarsus
2 : 5
Edirnespor Genclik
07 Apr
Kepez Bld.
9 : 0
Tarsus
03 Apr
Tarsus
0 : 5
Kirikkale FK
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Gumushanespor

(Away)
27 Apr
Gumushanespor
2 : 4
Kepez Bld.
21 Apr
Kirikkale FK
3 : 1
Gumushanespor
14 Apr
Gumushanespor
1 : 1
Aliaga
03 Apr
Ayvalikgucu
4 : 3
Gumushanespor
24 Mar
Gumushanespor
2 : 3
Mardin 1969
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kepez Bld. 28 22 4 2 67:18 70
2 Aliaga 28 19 9 0 60:18 66
3 Ayvalikgucu 28 15 7 6 40:25 52
4 52 Orduspor 28 14 7 7 40:28 49
5 Inegol Kafkas 28 13 8 7 37:30 47
6 Edirnespor Genclik 28 13 5 10 45:28 44
7 Mardin 1969 28 12 5 11 40:34 41
8 Kucukcekmece 28 10 8 10 41:31 38
9 Karabuk Idmanyurdu 28 10 5 13 27:44 35
10 Hopaspor 28 9 7 12 33:29 34
11 Erciyes 38 28 10 4 14 34:45 34
12 Kirikkale FK 28 8 5 15 31:42 29
13 Gumushanespor 28 4 10 14 25:49 22
14 Arguvan 28 3 4 21 21:57 13
15 Tarsus 28 2 4 22 20:83 10
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)