Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tarsus vs Inegol Kafkas

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 Tarsus City Stadium, Tarsus
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Kocal Y.
45' Event
Akyildiz A.
66' Event
Dogrukiran B.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 game between Tarsus and Inegol Kafkas finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inegol Kafkas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Tarsus
20%
Draws
73%
Inegol Kafkas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Inegol Kafkas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Inegol Kafkas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Inegol Kafkas's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Tarsus Clean Sheet 18%
Inegol Kafkas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tarsus Inegol Kafkas
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 2 24
Draws 4 8
Losses 24 4
Goals Scored 0.7 1.94
Goals Conceded 2.97 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Inegol Kafkas vs Tarsus
3:1
Dec 10, 2023 3. Lig Group 1
Tarsus vs Inegol Kafkas
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tarsus Compare

Top Goalscorer Kavalci C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Inegol Kafkas Compare

Top Goalscorer Kocal Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akyildiz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tarsus 10 / 100
Inegol Kafkas 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tarsus Inegol Kafkas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inegol Kafkas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Inegol Kafkas has conceded goals in 72% of their last 36 outings.

Tarsus's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Tarsus stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Inegol Kafkas
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tarsus

(Home)
27 Apr
Tarsus
1 : 1
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
21 Apr
Inegol Kafkas
3 : 1
Tarsus
14 Apr
Tarsus
2 : 5
Edirnespor Genclik
07 Apr
Kepez Bld.
9 : 0
Tarsus
03 Apr
Tarsus
0 : 5
Kirikkale FK
Page 1 of 6

Inegol Kafkas

(Away)
26 Sept
Inegol Kafkas
4 : 1
Kastamonuspor
20 Sept
Aksaray Bld.
1 : 1
Inegol Kafkas
12 Sept
Inegol Kafkas
1 : 3
Soma Spor
06 Sept
Menemenspor
1 : 3
Inegol Kafkas
18 Apr
Inegol Kafkas
3 : 1
Bursa Yildirimspor
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kepez Bld. 28 22 4 2 67:18 70
2 Aliaga 28 19 9 0 60:18 66
3 Ayvalikgucu 28 15 7 6 40:25 52
4 52 Orduspor 28 14 7 7 40:28 49
5 Inegol Kafkas 28 13 8 7 37:30 47
6 Edirnespor Genclik 28 13 5 10 45:28 44
7 Mardin 1969 28 12 5 11 40:34 41
8 Kucukcekmece 28 10 8 10 41:31 38
9 Karabuk Idmanyurdu 28 10 5 13 27:44 35
10 Hopaspor 28 9 7 12 33:29 34
11 Erciyes 38 28 10 4 14 34:45 34
12 Kirikkale FK 28 8 5 15 31:42 29
13 Gumushanespor 28 4 10 14 25:49 22
14 Arguvan 28 3 4 21 21:57 13
15 Tarsus 28 2 4 22 20:83 10
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)