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Tarsus vs Karabuk Idmanyurdu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 Tarsus City Stadium, Tarsus
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Dagli S.
63' Event
Cildir O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Tarsus
20%
Draws
73%
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Karabuk Idmanyurdu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Karabuk Idmanyurdu lately — more wins on the board than Tarsus.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Karabuk Idmanyurdu taking it.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Tarsus Clean Sheet 20%
Karabuk Idmanyurdu Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tarsus Karabuk Idmanyurdu
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 24 11
Goals Scored 0.7 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.97 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Tarsus vs Karabuk Idmanyurdu
1:1
Dec 20, 2023 3. Lig Group 1
Karabuk Idmanyurdu vs Tarsus
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tarsus Compare

Top Goalscorer Cildir O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Karabuk Idmanyurdu Compare

Top Goalscorer Dagli S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tarsus 10 / 100
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tarsus Karabuk Idmanyurdu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karabuk Idmanyurdu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Karabuk Idmanyurdu conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Tarsus scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Tarsus has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Karabuk Idmanyurdu
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tarsus

(Home)
27 Apr
Tarsus
1 : 1
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
21 Apr
Inegol Kafkas
3 : 1
Tarsus
14 Apr
Tarsus
2 : 5
Edirnespor Genclik
07 Apr
Kepez Bld.
9 : 0
Tarsus
03 Apr
Tarsus
0 : 5
Kirikkale FK
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Karabuk Idmanyurdu

(Away)
07 Oct
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
1 : 0
Beykoz Anadolu
03 Oct
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
1 : 2
Amasyaspor
27 Sept
Pazarspor
0 : 1
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
19 Sept
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
0 : 0
Karadeniz Eregli
13 Sept
Zonguldak Komurspor
1 : 2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kepez Bld. 28 22 4 2 67:18 70
2 Aliaga 28 19 9 0 60:18 66
3 Ayvalikgucu 28 15 7 6 40:25 52
4 52 Orduspor 28 14 7 7 40:28 49
5 Inegol Kafkas 28 13 8 7 37:30 47
6 Edirnespor Genclik 28 13 5 10 45:28 44
7 Mardin 1969 28 12 5 11 40:34 41
8 Kucukcekmece 28 10 8 10 41:31 38
9 Karabuk Idmanyurdu 28 10 5 13 27:44 35
10 Hopaspor 28 9 7 12 33:29 34
11 Erciyes 38 28 10 4 14 34:45 34
12 Kirikkale FK 28 8 5 15 31:42 29
13 Gumushanespor 28 4 10 14 25:49 22
14 Arguvan 28 3 4 21 21:57 13
15 Tarsus 28 2 4 22 20:83 10
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)