Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 Tarsus City Stadium

Tarsus

1 - 4

Mardin 1969

Our Tip

Match Events

33'

Kose S.

44'

Cildir O.

66'

Ozkan A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mardin 1969 in this 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mardin 1969.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Tarsus

Draws

90%

Mardin 1969

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mardin 1969

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Mardin 1969 lately — more wins on the board than Tarsus.
Win probability leans Mardin 1969's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Tarsus Clean Sheet 17%

Mardin 1969 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tarsus	Mardin 1969
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	2	21
Draws	4	5
Losses	24	6
Goals Scored	0	1.75
Goals Conceded	0	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 3. Lig Group 1

Tarsus vs Mardin 1969

Possession: 50% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

1:4

Oct 22, 2023 3. Lig Group 1

Mardin 1969 vs Tarsus

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 2 - 1

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tarsus Compare

Top Goalscorer Cildir O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Mardin 1969 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kose S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ozkan A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tarsus 10 / 100

Mardin 1969 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tarsus Mardin 1969

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Tarsus found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Mardin 1969 has conceded goals in 50% of their last 32 outings.

Tarsus has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mardin 1969

0 Goals Scored 1.75

0 Goals Conceded 0.75

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kepez Bld.	28	22	4	2	67:18	70
2	Aliaga	28	19	9	0	60:18	66
3	Ayvalikgucu	28	15	7	6	40:25	52
4	52 Orduspor	28	14	7	7	40:28	49
5	Inegol Kafkas	28	13	8	7	37:30	47
6	Edirnespor Genclik	28	13	5	10	45:28	44
7	Mardin 1969	28	12	5	11	40:34	41
8	Kucukcekmece	28	10	8	10	41:31	38
9	Karabuk Idmanyurdu	28	10	5	13	27:44	35
10	Hopaspor	28	9	7	12	33:29	34
11	Erciyes 38	28	10	4	14	34:45	34
12	Kirikkale FK	28	8	5	15	31:42	29
13	Gumushanespor	28	4	10	14	25:49	22
14	Arguvan	28	3	4	21	21:57	13
15	Tarsus	28	2	4	22	20:83	10