Sport Picks

Estonia

Estonian Cup 2025/2026 Holm Jalgpallipark

Tartu Helios

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tartu JK Welco play Tartu Helios in the Estonian Cup 2025/2026. Tartu JK Welco are favorites here. Recently, Tartu JK Welco averaged 3.03 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Tartu Helios averaged 1.67 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Tartu JK Welco won 1, Tartu Helios won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 13, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.23 for Tartu JK Welco and 1.31 for Tartu Helios. This points to a Tartu JK Welco double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Tartu JK Welco

18%

Draws

22%

Tartu Helios

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Tartu JK Welco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence

Tartu JK Welco picked up more points recently compared to Tartu Helios.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.23 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 97%

Over 2.5 Goals 82%

Over 3.5 Goals 49%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%

Tartu JK Welco Clean Sheet 18%

Tartu Helios Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 87%

Second Half Goal 92%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tartu JK Welco	Tartu Helios
Matches Played	30	3
Wins	18	1
Draws	6	0
Losses	6	2
Goals Scored	3.03	1.67
Goals Conceded	1.57	2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2025 Estonian Cup

Tartu JK Welco vs Tartu Helios

Possession: 44% - 46% Cards: 2 - 4

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tartu JK Welco 58 / 100

Tartu Helios 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tartu JK Welco Tartu Helios

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tartu JK Welco Win (1)

Secondary Pick Tartu JK Welco & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.2%

1.92

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.2%

1.32

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tartu JK Welco attacking → ← attacking Tartu Helios

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tartu JK Welco scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Tartu Helios let in goals in 67% of their last 3 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Tartu JK Welco went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Tartu Helios lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 3

3.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00