Sport Picks
Tartu JK Welco vs Viimsi JK
Estonia
Esiliiga Holm Jalgpallipark, Tartu 
Match Events
7'
7'
Laasner K.
Assist: Veensalu E.
16'
16'
Mugra M.
Assist: Veensalu E.
40'
40'
Kaljuvere K.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Esiliiga matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
20%
34%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tartu JK Welco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Viimsi JK haven't matched Tartu JK Welco's recent run of results.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Tartu JK Welco taking it.
- Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Tartu JK Welco Clean Sheet 10%
Viimsi JK Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tartu JK Welco | Viimsi JK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.97 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.35 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2026 Esiliiga
Viimsi JK vs Tartu JK Welco
0:2
Aug 29, 2026 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Viimsi JK
1:3
Jul 2, 2026 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Viimsi JK
2:2
Apr 23, 2026 Esiliiga
Viimsi JK vs Tartu JK Welco
2:0
Oct 3, 2025 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Viimsi JK
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tartu JK Welco Compare
Top Goalscorer Laasner K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mugra M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Viimsi JK Compare
Top Goalscorer Kaljuvere K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Magi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tartu JK Welco 38 / 100
Viimsi JK 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tartu JK Welco Viimsi JK
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tartu JK Welco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tartu JK Welco found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Viimsi JK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Tartu JK Welco stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tartu JK Welco VS Viimsi JK
2.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Tartu JK Welco
(Home) 17 Sept
Viimsi JK
0 : 2 Tartu JK Welco
14 Sept
Tartu JK Welco
3 : 0 Kalju U21
10 Sept
Levadia U21
0 : 0 Tartu JK Welco
05 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1 Tartu JK Welco
29 Aug
Tartu JK Welco
1 : 3 Viimsi JK
Page 1 of 7
14 Sept
Tartu JK Welco
3 : 0 Kalju U21
29 Aug
Tartu JK Welco
1 : 3 Viimsi JK
20 Aug
Tartu JK Welco
4 : 2 Levadia U21
15 Aug
Tartu JK Welco
2 : 1 Flora Tallinn U21
18 Jul
Tartu JK Welco
0 : 2 FC Tallinn
Page 1 of 3
Viimsi JK
(Away) 17 Sept
Viimsi JK
0 : 2 Tartu JK Welco
13 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 0 Viimsi JK
10 Sept
Viimsi JK
5 : 0 Elva
03 Sept
Viimsi JK
1 : 2 FC Tallinn
29 Aug
Tartu JK Welco
1 : 3 Viimsi JK
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 0 Viimsi JK
29 Aug
Tartu JK Welco
1 : 3 Viimsi JK
21 Aug
Flora Tallinn U21
2 : 1 Viimsi JK
12 Aug
Tartu Helios
1 : 4 Viimsi JK
08 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
1 : 2 Viimsi JK
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu JK Welco | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 81:39 | 62 |
| 2 | Viimsi JK | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 56:31 | 50 |
| 3 | Flora Tallinn U21 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 72:53 | 48 |
| 4 | Elva | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 47:44 | 48 |
| 5 | Maardu Linnameeskond | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 45:55 | 41 |
| 6 | Levadia U21 | 29 | 13 | 2 | 14 | 60:55 | 41 |
| 7 | Tallinna Kalev | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 52:55 | 37 |
| 8 | Nomme Utd U21 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 50:62 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Tallinn | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 35:63 | 29 |
| 10 | Kalju U21 | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 38:79 | 22 |
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)
