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Tartu JK Welco vs Viimsi JK

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Holm Jalgpallipark
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Laasner K.
Assist: Veensalu E.
16' Event
Mugra M.
Assist: Veensalu E.
40' Event
Kaljuvere K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Esiliiga matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tartu JK Welco
6%
Draws
4%
Viimsi JK
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tartu JK Welco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Viimsi JK haven't matched Tartu JK Welco's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Tartu JK Welco taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Viimsi JK here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tartu JK Welco Clean Sheet 18%
Viimsi JK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tartu JK Welco Viimsi JK
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 17 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Viimsi JK
2:2
Apr 23, 2026 Esiliiga
Viimsi JK vs Tartu JK Welco
2:0
Oct 3, 2025 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Viimsi JK
1:4
Aug 18, 2025 Esiliiga
Viimsi JK vs Tartu JK Welco
3:2
Jul 23, 2025 Esiliiga
Viimsi JK vs Tartu JK Welco
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tartu JK Welco Compare

Top Goalscorer Laasner K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mugra M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Viimsi JK Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaljuvere K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Magi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tartu JK Welco 85 / 100
Viimsi JK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tartu JK Welco Viimsi JK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tartu JK Welco's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Tartu JK Welco stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Viimsi JK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tartu JK Welco VS Viimsi JK
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu JK Welco18133254:2342
2Viimsi JK1895430:1632
3Flora Tallinn U211793544:3430
4Elva1983834:3227
5Levadia U2119801137:3524
6Maardu Linnameeskond1865726:3823
7Tallinna Kalev1964937:3922
8Kalju U211854930:4419
9Nomme Utd U211754834:4119
10FC Tallinn19451025:4917