Sport Picks

Estonia

Esiliiga B

Tartu Kalev

10 - 2

Legion

Our Tip

Match Events

Bazjukin N.

Kulm R.

11'

Karpenkov V.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tartu Kalev in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 10-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tartu Kalev.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Tartu Kalev

Draws

Legion

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tartu Kalev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Tartu Kalev have won more games recently than Legion.
90% — that's where the model lands on Tartu Kalev taking it.
Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Tartu Kalev have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 91%

Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 37%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%

Tartu Kalev Clean Sheet 12%

Legion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tartu Kalev	Legion
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	13	5
Draws	3	1
Losses	15	24
Goals Scored	2.75	0.88
Goals Conceded	2.63	5.25
Expected Goals (xG)	2.75	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.63	5.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Esiliiga B

Tartu Kalev vs Legion

Possession: 58% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

10:2

May 24, 2026 Esiliiga B

Legion vs Tartu Kalev

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 2 - 2

0:6

Apr 11, 2026 Esiliiga B

Tartu Kalev vs Legion

Possession: 47% - 44% Cards: 4 - 4

1:0

Nov 1, 2025 Esiliiga B

Tartu Kalev vs Legion

Possession: 44% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

4:3

Aug 2, 2025 Esiliiga B

Legion vs Tartu Kalev

Possession: 52% - 44% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tartu Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Kulm R.

4 Goals

Assists Leader Bazjukin N.

3 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.12

Avg xA / game 1.38

Legion Compare

Top Goalscorer Vassiljev A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sutorin V.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tartu Kalev 83 / 100

Legion 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tartu Kalev Legion

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 3:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tartu Kalev scored in 97% of their last 31 outings.

Legion's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.40 goals as a typical output.

Legion's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tartu Kalev VS Legion

2.75 Goals Scored 0.88

2.63 Goals Conceded 5.25

100% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 100%

75% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tammeka Tartu U21	19	12	2	5	54:37	38
2	Tulevik	19	11	1	7	55:39	34
3	Johvi Phoenix	19	11	1	7	49:47	34
4	Narva U21	18	10	2	6	44:28	32
5	Parnu JK Vaprus U21	19	10	2	7	56:42	32
6	Levadia U19	19	10	2	7	48:34	32
7	Tabasalu	19	9	0	10	33:50	27
8	Tartu Kalev	19	8	1	10	49:42	25
9	Tallinna Kalev U21	19	4	2	13	38:46	14
10	Legion	18	2	1	15	16:77	7