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Stadium Background

Tartu Kalev vs Legion

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Bazjukin N.
9' Event
Kulm R.
11' Event
Karpenkov V.

AI Match Summary

Tartu Kalev in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 10-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tartu Kalev.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Tartu Kalev
20%
Draws
10%
Legion
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tartu Kalev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Tartu Kalev have won more games recently than Legion.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Tartu Kalev taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tartu Kalev have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tartu Kalev Clean Sheet 16%
Legion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tartu Kalev Legion
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 17 3
Draws 2 3
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 2.56 0.9
Goals Conceded 2 3.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Tartu Kalev
1:2
Jul 12, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Legion
10:2
May 24, 2026 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Tartu Kalev
0:6
Apr 11, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Legion
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Legion
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tartu Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Kulm R.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Bazjukin N.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Legion Compare

Top Goalscorer Vassiljev A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sutorin V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tartu Kalev 84 / 100
Legion 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tartu Kalev Legion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tartu Kalev Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tartu Kalev scored in 91% of their last 32 outings.

Legion's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 5.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Tartu Kalev stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tartu Kalev VS Legion
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tartu Kalev

(Home)
13 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
0 : 4
Tartu Kalev
10 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Tartu Kalev
06 Sept
Tartu Kalev
0 : 1
Narva U21
29 Aug
Tartu Kalev
0 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
25 Aug
Tartu Kalev
1 : 1
Tallinna Kalev U21
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Legion

(Away)
14 Sept
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Legion
10 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Tartu Kalev
05 Sept
Tulevik
3 : 0
Legion
30 Aug
Legion
1 : 5
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
24 Aug
Levadia U19
1 : 0
Legion
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 28 18 3 7 67:34 57
2 Levadia U19 29 17 2 10 74:52 53
3 Johvi Phoenix 29 16 3 10 68:66 51
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 29 15 4 10 74:59 49
5 Tartu Kalev 29 15 2 12 71:52 47
6 Tulevik 29 13 5 11 74:60 44
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 29 13 4 12 83:62 43
8 Tabasalu 29 10 3 16 42:78 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 29 7 5 17 59:75 26
10 Legion 28 3 3 22 25:99 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)