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Tartu Kalev vs Levadia U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tartu Kalev host Levadia U19 in the Esiliiga B. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Tartu Kalev have averaged 2.5 scored and 2.13 conceded recently, against Levadia U19's 2.59 scored and 1.72 conceded. Head-to-head, Tartu Kalev have won 2 to Levadia U19's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 19, 2026, ending 0:5. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 2.25) point toward Levadia U19. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Tartu Kalev
15%
Draws
51%
Levadia U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Levadia U19 come out ahead of Tartu Kalev on wins alone.
  • Model gives Levadia U19 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Tartu Kalev have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Tartu Kalev Clean Sheet 10%
Levadia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tartu Kalev Levadia U19
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 18
Draws 2 2
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 2.5 2.59
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Esiliiga B
Levadia U19 vs Tartu Kalev
0:5
May 29, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Levadia U19
2:0
Apr 28, 2026 Esiliiga B
Levadia U19 vs Tartu Kalev
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tartu Kalev 22 / 100
Levadia U19 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tartu Kalev Levadia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tartu Kalev scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Levadia U19 conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Tartu Kalev went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tartu Kalev VS Levadia U19
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tartu Kalev

(Home)
26 Sept
Tulevik
6 : 1
Tartu Kalev
13 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
0 : 4
Tartu Kalev
10 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Tartu Kalev
06 Sept
Tartu Kalev
0 : 1
Narva U21
29 Aug
Tartu Kalev
0 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
Page 1 of 6

Levadia U19

(Away)
03 Oct
Legion
0 : 3
Levadia U19
21 Sept
Levadia U19
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
15 Sept
Levadia U19
3 : 5
Tulevik
11 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Levadia U19
06 Sept
Levadia U19
6 : 2
Johvi Phoenix
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 31 19 2 10 78:52 59
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
5 Tulevik 31 14 5 12 81:64 47
6 Tartu Kalev 30 15 2 13 72:58 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 31 8 5 18 63:78 29
10 Legion 31 3 3 25 26:116 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)