Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Kaitseliit in this Estonian Cup 2012/2013 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tartu Ulikool
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Kaitseliit haven't matched Tartu Ulikool's recent run of results.
- Model gives Kaitseliit a 42% chance of winning this.
- Tartu Ulikool have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Kaitseliit, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Tartu Ulikool Clean Sheet 10%
Kaitseliit Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tartu Ulikool | Kaitseliit |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 13 | 13 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 2.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.15 | 2.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 3.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 21, 2012 Estonian Cup
Tartu Ulikool vs Kaitseliit
0:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tartu Ulikool 14 / 100
Kaitseliit 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tartu Ulikool Kaitseliit
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kaitseliit Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kaitseliit let in goals in 75% of their last 12 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Kaitseliit has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Tartu Ulikool scored in 58% of their last 12 games.
Scoring Trends
Tartu Ulikool VS Kaitseliit
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
4.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Tartu Ulikool
(Home) 23 Jul
TransferWise
3 : 2 Tartu Ulikool
21 Jun
Tartu Ulikool
1 : 0 Viimsi Lovid
24 Aug
Tartu Ulikool
4 : 6 SK EPMU Tartu
24 Jul
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts
0 : 3 Tartu Ulikool
27 Jun
Tartu Ulikool
2 : 3 Kalju III
Page 1 of 3
21 Jun
Tartu Ulikool
1 : 0 Viimsi Lovid
24 Aug
Tartu Ulikool
4 : 6 SK EPMU Tartu
27 Jun
Tartu Ulikool
2 : 3 Kalju III
10 Jul
Tartu Ulikool
0 : 3 Otepaa
13 Jun
Tartu Ulikool
: Taebla
Page 1 of 2
Kaitseliit
(Away) 19 Jun
Eston Villa
: Kaitseliit
11 Aug
Tulevik
7 : 0 Kaitseliit
28 Jun
Kaitseliit
12 : 1 Kusimark
10 Jul
Kaitseliit
0 : 3 Tabasalu
05 Jun
Kadakas
0 : 2 Kaitseliit
Page 1 of 3
19 Jun
Eston Villa
: Kaitseliit
11 Aug
Tulevik
7 : 0 Kaitseliit
05 Jun
Kadakas
0 : 2 Kaitseliit
05 Jun
Viimsi JK
4 : 0 Kaitseliit
22 Jul
Rada Kuusalu
3 : 2 Kaitseliit
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Kalju 17
Eestimaa Kasakad 0
Tallinna Kalev 12
FC KIIU 3
Otepaa 2
Ulikool Tallinn 1
Tartu SK 10 II -
Leisi -
Pirita 0
Rapla 8
Saku Sporting 3
FC Balteco 1
Pokkeriprod 3
Soccernet 2
Levadia 12
Toompea 1994 0
Ajax Lasnamae II 2
Velldoris 5
Kalju III 2
Akhtamar 1
Paide Linnameeskond U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Lootos Polva -
Kose 3
Kaitseliit II 2
TBD -
Nomme Utd -
Helios 0
Ambla 4
Ganvix Turi 3
JK Retro 2
Kohtla-Jarve JK Alko 1
Viljandi 2
Jogeva 3
Igiliikur 1
Quattromed II -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakvere -
Paide Linnameeskond -
TBD -
Haiba 4
Legion 3
Viimsi MRJK -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 8
JK Jalgpallihaigla 1
JK Keskerakond 1
FCI Tallinn 14
Trummi 2
JK Visadus 6
Twister Tallinn 1
Kuressaare 2
FC Ararat 10
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Viimsi JK 9
Raasiku Joker 0
Lasnamae -
SK Taaksi -
SK EPMU Tartu 1
Tulevik 3
Tammeka Tartu 4
Johvi Phoenix 0
Narva -
TBD -
Levadia Tallinn III 0
Saue JK Laagri 3
Kadakas 3
Reaal 0
TBD -
Saaremaa -
Tallinna Kalev III 3
Maccabi 4
TBD -
Taebla -
Tallinna Kalev II 0
Olympic Tallinn 2
Quattromed 9
Look Tartu 0
Metropool Parnu 1
Kivioli Irbis 7
Dinamo Tallinn 2
Sorve 1
Tartu Ulikool 0
Kaitseliit 3
Tammeka Tartu II -
Rada Kuusalu -
Kohtla-Jarve Lootus 0
Puuma 1
TBD -
Valga Warrior -
Keila JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Sillamae Kalev -
Parnu Linnameeskond 4
JK Luunja 2
Rummu Dunamo 3
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS 1
Kardla 3
Tabasalu 0
Navi Vutiselts 1
Lihula JK 0
PSK Alexela 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 4
Jarva-Jaani 3
Imavere Forss 2
Pubi Trehv -
TBD -
Castovanni Eagles 1
Voru 3
Elva -
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt 1
Elva 4
Koeru -
TBD -
Pohja-Sakala 3
FCI Tallinn II 1
Tallinn Piraaja 1
Tartu SK 10 5
Kristiine 2
Kalju II 3
Eston Villa 2
Lelle 0
Flora 12
Loo JK 0
1/32-finals
Kalju 4
Tallinna Kalev 0
Otepaa 0
Tartu SK 10 II 1
Rapla 4
Saku Sporting 3
Pokkeriprod 0
Levadia 18
Velldoris 2
Kalju III 0
Paide Linnameeskond U21 1
FC Lootos Polva 3
Kose 2
Nomme Utd 1
Ambla 1
Ganvix Turi 6
Viljandi 6
Jogeva 1
Quattromed II 0
Rakvere 8
Paide Linnameeskond 10
Haiba 0
Viimsi MRJK 0
Flora Tallinn U21 6
FCI Tallinn 1
JK Visadus 0
Kuressaare 2
FC Ararat 3
Viimsi JK 2
Lasnamae 0
Tulevik 0
Tammeka Tartu 3
Narva 6
Saue JK Laagri 0
Kadakas 1
Saaremaa 2
Maccabi 3
Taebla 1
Olympic Tallinn 1
Quattromed 5
Kivioli Irbis 5
Dinamo Tallinn 0
Kaitseliit 2
Rada Kuusalu 3
Puuma 1
Valga Warrior 0
Keila JK 0
Sillamae Kalev 6
Parnu Linnameeskond 2
Rummu Dunamo 1
Kardla 0
Navi Vutiselts 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 5
Jarva-Jaani 0
Pubi Trehv 1
Voru 2
Elva 6
Tartu JK Welco 1
Koeru 1
Pohja-Sakala 4
Tartu SK 10 4
Kalju II 3
Eston Villa 0
Flora 6
1/16-finals
Kalju 3
Tartu SK 10 II 0
Rapla 1
Levadia 17
Velldoris 3
FC Lootos Polva 2
Kose 2
Ganvix Turi 6
Viljandi 2
Rakvere 0
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Flora Tallinn U21 1
FCI Tallinn 5
FC Ararat 0
Viimsi JK 0
Tammeka Tartu 4
Narva -
Saaremaa -
Maccabi 2
Quattromed 9
Kivioli Irbis -
Rada Kuusalu -
Puuma 0
Sillamae Kalev 2
Parnu Linnameeskond 3
Navi Vutiselts 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Voru 1
Elva 2
Pohja-Sakala 1
Tartu SK 10 1
Flora 9
1/8-finals
Kalju 4
Levadia 3
Velldoris 1
Ganvix Turi 8
Viljandi 3
Flora Tallinn U21 1
FCI Tallinn 1
Tammeka Tartu 2
Narva 7
Quattromed 1
Kivioli Irbis 0
Sillamae Kalev 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 4
Voru 2
Elva 0
Flora 2
Quarter-finals
Kalju 5
Ganvix Turi 0
Viljandi -
Tammeka Tartu -
Narva 2
Sillamae Kalev 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 0
Flora 6
Semi-finals
Kalju 5
Tammeka Tartu 1
Narva 0
Flora 3
Final
Kalju 1
Flora 3
