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Taruma vs Sul America

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Taruma in this Amazonense 2 2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Taruma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Taruma
6%
Draws
90%
Sul America
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sul America

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sul America have won more games recently than Taruma.
  • Win probability leans Sul America's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Amazonense 2 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Taruma have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Taruma Clean Sheet 10%
Sul America Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taruma Sul America
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 4 2
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.75 3.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2022 Amazonense 2
Sul America vs Taruma
2:1
Oct 23, 2021 Amazonense 2
Taruma vs Sul America
3:2
Apr 13, 2013 Amazonense
Taruma vs Sul America
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taruma 10 / 100
Sul America 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taruma Sul America

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sul America conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Taruma's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Taruma stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Taruma VS Sul America
1.75 Goals Scored 3.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manauara642014:214
2Operario Esporte Clube642013:214
3Atletico Amazonense623110:99
4Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)622213:98
5Taruma622213:118
6Sul America611421:154
7Manicore60060:360