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Taruma vs Sul America

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Taruma in this Amazonense 2 2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Taruma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Taruma
20%
Draws
29%
Sul America
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Taruma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Sul America have won more games recently than Taruma.
  • Win probability leans Sul America's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Amazonense 2 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Taruma have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Taruma Clean Sheet 10%
Sul America Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taruma Sul America
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 4 2
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.43 2.45
Goals Conceded 2.77 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2022 Amazonense 2
Sul America vs Taruma
2:1
Oct 23, 2021 Amazonense 2
Taruma vs Sul America
3:2
Apr 13, 2013 Amazonense
Taruma vs Sul America
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taruma 10 / 100
Sul America 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taruma Sul America

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sul America Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sul America conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Taruma's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Taruma stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Taruma VS Sul America
1.75 Goals Scored 3.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Taruma

(Home)
29 Jun
Operario Esporte Clube
5 : 0
Taruma
23 Jun
Taruma
1 : 1
Manicore
08 Jun
RB do Norte
0 : 3
Taruma
01 Jun
Taruma
1 : 0
Unidos do Alvorada
25 May
Penarol
2 : 0
Taruma
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Sul America

(Away)
21 Jun
Operario Esporte Clube
3 : 2
Sul America
13 Jun
Sul America
3 : 2
Cliper
08 Jun
Fast Clube
0 : 0
Sul America
02 Jun
Sul America
0 : 2
Itacoatiara
14 Sept
Sete FC
3 : 2
Sul America
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manauara 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Operario Esporte Clube 6 4 2 0 13:2 14
3 Atletico Amazonense 6 2 3 1 10:9 9
4 Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) 6 2 2 2 13:9 8
5 Taruma 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
6 Sul America 6 1 1 4 21:15 4
7 Manicore 6 0 0 6 0:36 0
Promotion - Amazonense 2 2021 (Play Offs)