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Tarup-Paarup vs Marienlyst - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
49' Event
55' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2022 game between Tarup-Paarup and Marienlyst finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tarup-Paarup.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Tarup-Paarup
20%
Draws
64%
Marienlyst
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marienlyst

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Tarup-Paarup haven't matched Marienlyst's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Marienlyst taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Marienlyst here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tarup-Paarup Clean Sheet 20%
Marienlyst Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tarup-Paarup Marienlyst
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 13
Draws 4 1
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.3 1.68
Goals Conceded 2 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2022 Club Friendly
Tarup-Paarup vs Marienlyst
3:0
Aug 4, 2020 Club Friendly
Marienlyst vs Tarup-Paarup
4:2
May 22, 2019 2nd Division - Group 1
Marienlyst vs Tarup-Paarup
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tarup-Paarup 10 / 100
Marienlyst 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tarup-Paarup Marienlyst

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marienlyst Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Tarup-Paarup scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Marienlyst let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Marienlyst lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tarup-Paarup VS Marienlyst
0.71 Goals Scored 0.88
3.71 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 25%
86% Over 2.5 25%
71% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tarup-Paarup

(Home)
05 Aug
Tarup-Paarup
0 : 3
Vejle
21 Feb
Tarup-Paarup
0 : 6
Naesby
06 Aug
Morud
3 : 2
Tarup-Paarup
30 Jul
Naesby
5 : 2
Tarup-Paarup
24 Feb
Tarup-Paarup
1 : 1
Naesby
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Marienlyst

(Away)
26 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 3
VSK Aarhus
05 Aug
Hedensted
0 : 5
Marienlyst
28 Feb
Naesby
2 : 2
Marienlyst
06 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 2
Esbjerg
22 Feb
Naesby
5 : 3
Marienlyst
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