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Stadium Background

Tarvastu vs Kose

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tarvastu in this Estonian Cup 2010/2011 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tarvastu
15%
Draws
34%
Kose
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tarvastu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Kose have won more games recently than Tarvastu.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Tarvastu taking it.
  • Kose arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tarvastu, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Tarvastu Clean Sheet 11%
Kose Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tarvastu Kose
Matches Played 6 28
Wins 3 9
Draws 0 0
Losses 3 19
Goals Scored 3 1.36
Goals Conceded 2.33 4.36
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2010 Estonian Cup
Tarvastu vs Kose
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tarvastu 83 / 100
Kose 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tarvastu Kose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tarvastu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tarvastu scored in 83% of their last 6 games.

Kose let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Tarvastu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tarvastu VS Kose
4 Goals Scored 0.63
3 Goals Conceded 4.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tarvastu

(Home)
20 Aug
Tarvastu
1 : 4
Elva
25 Jul
JK Jalgpallihaigla
2 : 7
Tarvastu
08 Sept
Tammeka Tartu II
4 : 3
Tarvastu
18 Aug
JK Rannamoisa
0 : 4
Tarvastu
20 Jul
Tarvastu
3 : 2
Kose
Page 1 of 2

Kose

(Away)
12 Aug
Kose
0 : 8
Tartu JK Welco
25 Jul
EstHam United
1 : 5
Kose
16 Jun
Kose
8 : 0
Kummik
25 Jul
Kose
0 : 7
Kuressaare
30 Jul
Kose
1 : 6
Tartu Kalev
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tammeka Tartu 0
Narva 1
Tallinna Kalev 2
Tammeka Tartu II 1
Tartu SK 10 1
Ganvix Turi 0
Lasnamae 4
Nomme Utd 1
Viimsi JK 4
Kohtla-Jarve JK Alko 0
Sillamae Kalev 12
Kivioli Irbis 1
Flora 4
FC Lootos Polva 1
Raasiku Joker 3
Sillamae Kalev II 0
Quarter-finals
Narva 1
Tallinna Kalev 0
Tartu SK 10 0
Lasnamae 4
Viimsi JK 0
Sillamae Kalev 1
Flora 3
Raasiku Joker 0
Semi-finals
Flora 6
Lasnamae 0
Sillamae Kalev 1
Narva 2
Final
Flora 2
Narva 0