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Tarxien vs Mellieha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malta Malta

Division 1 2007/2008
Tarxien Logo

Tarxien

3 - 0
FT
Mellieha Logo

Mellieha

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2007/2008 game between Tarxien and Mellieha finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tarxien.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Tarxien
15%
Draws
17%
Mellieha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tarxien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mellieha come out ahead of Tarxien on wins alone.
  • Tarxien are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 2007/2008 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Tarxien Clean Sheet 17%
Mellieha Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tarxien Mellieha
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 1
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.31 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2024 FA Trophy
Tarxien vs Mellieha
1:2
Nov 27, 2013 FA Trophy
Mellieha vs Tarxien
0:1
Mar 13, 2008 Challenge League
Tarxien vs Mellieha
3:0
Oct 26, 2007 Challenge League
Mellieha vs Tarxien
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tarxien 84 / 100
Mellieha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tarxien Mellieha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tarxien Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mellieha has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Tarxien scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Solid form: Tarxien remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tarxien VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tarxien

(Home)
20 Sept
Tarxien
3 : 1
Attard
13 Sept
Mgarr
1 : 3
Tarxien
10 May
Zabbar
2 : 0
Tarxien
05 May
Zabbar
2 : 3
Tarxien
30 Apr
Tarxien
2 : 1
Sliema
Page 1 of 7

Mellieha

(Away)
10 Jan
Zurrieq
1 : 0
Mellieha
07 Dec
Tarxien
1 : 2
Mellieha
08 Dec
Vittoriosa
2 : 0
Mellieha
26 Oct
Mellieha
1 : 4
Swieqi
02 Dec
Mellieha
0 : 5
Lija
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tarxien 18 12 3 3 32:17 39
2 Mosta FC 18 11 4 3 34:18 37
3 Qormi 18 11 4 3 37:22 37
4 Senglea 18 10 1 7 32:23 31
5 Dingli Swallows 18 8 3 7 34:27 27
6 Vittoriosa 18 8 1 9 33:29 25
7 St. George's FC 18 6 3 9 27:33 21
8 Zabbar 18 4 4 10 21:27 16
9 Mellieha 18 3 4 11 21:43 13
10 Marsa 18 3 1 14 23:55 10
Promotion - Premier League 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2007/2008 (Promotion - Play Offs)