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TAS Casablanca vs Union Touarga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Morocco Morocco

Coupe du Trone 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Essadak H.
78' Event
Zraa Y.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Union Touarga advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
TAS Casablanca
35%
Draws
45%
Union Touarga
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Union Touarga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Union Touarga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Union Touarga taking it.
  • Union Touarga arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Union Touarga, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Union Touarga have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
TAS Casablanca Clean Sheet 20%
Union Touarga Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TAS Casablanca Union Touarga
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 10
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Coupe du Trone
TAS Casablanca vs Union Touarga
0:2
Apr 16, 2022 Botola 2
TAS Casablanca vs Union Touarga
1:3
Nov 27, 2021 Botola 2
Union Touarga vs TAS Casablanca
2:1
Jun 25, 2021 Botola 2
Union Touarga vs TAS Casablanca
2:0
Mar 6, 2021 Botola 2
TAS Casablanca vs Union Touarga
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TAS Casablanca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Union Touarga Compare

Top Goalscorer Essadak H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zraa Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TAS Casablanca 12 / 100
Union Touarga 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TAS Casablanca Union Touarga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Touarga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Touarga let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

TAS Casablanca went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

TAS Casablanca's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Union Touarga
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

TAS Casablanca

(Home)
06 Apr
TAS Casablanca
0 : 2
Union Touarga
28 Mar
Mouloudia Oujda
1 : 2
TAS Casablanca
09 Feb
TAS Casablanca
0 : 1
Difaa El Jadidi
28 May
Dcheira
0 : 0
TAS Casablanca
22 May
TAS Casablanca
2 : 2
RAC Casablanca
Page 1 of 6

Union Touarga

(Away)
08 Oct
Union Touarga
0 : 0
Berkane
02 Oct
Widad Temara
0 : 1
Union Touarga
26 Sept
Union Touarga
2 : 1
FUS Rabat
21 Jul
Union Touarga
3 : 0
Jeunesse Massira
17 Jul
Jeunesse Massira
1 : 1
Union Touarga
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Ittihad Khemisset 0
Moghreb Tetouan 1
Wydad Athletic 1
FUS Rabat 0
Olympique Khouribga 3
Ittihad Fkih Ben Salah 0
AJS Boujdour 0
Hassania Agadir 3
FAR Rabat 2
Maghreb Fez 1
Renaissance Zemamra 4
Difaa El Jadidi 0
Kawkab Marrakech 2
RAC Casablanca 0
IR Tanger 0
Berkane 1
Mouloudia Oujda 1
TAS Casablanca 2
Chabab Mohammedia 2
Union Touarga 6
Youssoufia Berrechid 2
Wydad Serghini 1
Stade Marocain 2
Sidi Kacem 0
Chabab Benguerir 1
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 3
Olympique de Safi 3
Association Jeunesse Sportive 1
Hilal Nador 1
USM Oujda 3
Raja Casablanca 4
Raja Beni Mellal 2
1/8-finals
Moghreb Tetouan 1
Wydad Athletic 0
Olympique Khouribga 2
Hassania Agadir 1
FAR Rabat 3
Renaissance Zemamra 0
Kawkab Marrakech 0
Berkane 3
TAS Casablanca 0
Union Touarga 2
Youssoufia Berrechid 0
Stade Marocain 1
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 1
Olympique de Safi 2
USM Oujda 2
Raja Casablanca 1
Quarter-finals
Moghreb Tetouan 1
Olympique Khouribga 0
FAR Rabat 1
Berkane 2
Union Touarga 1
Stade Marocain 0
Olympique de Safi 2
USM Oujda 1
Semi-finals
Moghreb Tetouan 0
Berkane 3
Union Touarga 0
Olympique de Safi 1
Final
Berkane 1
Olympique de Safi 2