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Tasman United vs Canterbury

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2019/2020
Sun, Mar 22, 2020
VS
03:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tasman United host Canterbury in the Football Championship 2019/2020. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Tasman United have averaged 1.54 scored and 1.68 conceded recently, against Canterbury's 1.3 scored and 1.93 conceded. Past meetings favor Canterbury slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.25, favoring Canterbury. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tasman United
20%
Draws
40%
Canterbury
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tasman United come out ahead of Canterbury on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Tasman United Clean Sheet 19%
Canterbury Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tasman United Canterbury
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.54 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2020 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Canterbury
0:0
Dec 20, 2019 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Tasman United
2:0
Mar 17, 2019 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Canterbury
0:0
Jan 6, 2019 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Tasman United
1:0
Jan 7, 2018 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Canterbury
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tasman United 32 / 100
Canterbury 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tasman United Canterbury

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canterbury Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canterbury let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Tasman United found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Tasman United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tasman United VS Canterbury
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tasman United

(Home)
14 Mar
Hamilton
3 : 3
Tasman United
08 Mar
Wellington Phoenix 2
3 : 1
Tasman United
23 Feb
Tasman United
2 : 1
Auckland City
09 Feb
Team Wellington
3 : 1
Tasman United
02 Feb
Tasman United
3 : 1
Hawke s Bay
Page 1 of 6

Canterbury

(Away)
27 Feb
Canterbury
5 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2
20 Feb
Canterbury
0 : 2
Team Wellington
14 Feb
Auckland City
2 : 0
Canterbury
06 Feb
Canterbury
2 : 1
Hawke s Bay
31 Jan
Hamilton
1 : 1
Canterbury
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 16 11 4 1 42:15 37
2 Team Wellington 16 10 4 2 36:15 34
3 Waitakere United 16 8 3 5 35:32 27
4 Eastern Suburbs 16 6 4 6 33:26 22
5 Tasman United 16 6 2 8 27:26 20
6 Hamilton 16 6 2 8 24:39 20
7 Southern United 16 5 4 7 25:38 19
8 Wellington Phoenix 2 16 4 6 6 30:32 18
9 Hawke s Bay 16 4 3 9 32:44 15
10 Canterbury 16 2 4 10 19:36 10
Promotion - Football Championship 2019/2020 (Play Offs)