Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tasman United vs Eastern Suburbs

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
McCowatt C.
51' Event
Worrall R.
72' Event
De Jong A.

AI Match Summary

Eastern Suburbs in this Football Championship 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eastern Suburbs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tasman United
20%
Draws
40%
Eastern Suburbs
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Eastern Suburbs lately — more wins on the board than Tasman United.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Tasman United Clean Sheet 10%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tasman United Eastern Suburbs
Matches Played 28 49
Wins 8 18
Draws 7 12
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.54 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.12
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2020 Football Championship
Eastern Suburbs vs Tasman United
0:0
Jan 12, 2020 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Eastern Suburbs
2:0
Mar 10, 2019 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Eastern Suburbs
1:3
Dec 9, 2018 Football Championship
Eastern Suburbs vs Tasman United
0:0
Feb 11, 2018 Football Championship
Eastern Suburbs vs Tasman United
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tasman United Compare

Top Goalscorer Worrall R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Eastern Suburbs Compare

Top Goalscorer McCowatt C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader De Jong A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.93
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tasman United 30 / 100
Eastern Suburbs 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tasman United Eastern Suburbs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eastern Suburbs Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eastern Suburbs's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 49 matches.

Attacking prowess: Tasman United scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Tasman United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Eastern Suburbs
0 Goals Scored 3.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tasman United

(Home)
14 Mar
Hamilton
3 : 3
Tasman United
08 Mar
Wellington Phoenix 2
3 : 1
Tasman United
23 Feb
Tasman United
2 : 1
Auckland City
09 Feb
Team Wellington
3 : 1
Tasman United
02 Feb
Tasman United
3 : 1
Hawke s Bay
Page 1 of 6

Eastern Suburbs

(Away)
26 Sept
Ferrymead Bays
0 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2
Wellington Olympic
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2
Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3
Eastern Suburbs
24 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 2
Western Suburbs
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 18 17 1 0 46:18 52
2 Eastern Suburbs 18 13 1 4 53:16 40
3 Canterbury 18 10 4 4 34:29 34
4 Team Wellington 18 10 4 4 43:25 34
5 Southern United 18 6 5 7 24:30 23
6 Hamilton 18 5 2 11 34:44 17
7 Hawke s Bay 18 4 5 9 38:55 17
8 Tasman United 18 3 5 10 22:36 14
9 Waitakere United 18 4 1 13 29:46 13
10 Wellington Phoenix 2 18 3 2 13 22:46 11
Promotion - Football Championship 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2018/2019 (Play Offs)