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Tasovice vs Chotebor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group D
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tasovice host Chotebor in the 4. liga - Group D. This one's hard to separate. Chotebor have shipped 1.86 goals a game lately, while Tasovice have conceded 1.79 and scored 1.62. Head-to-head, Tasovice have won 1 to Chotebor's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.75 - 1.25) back Tasovice to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Tasovice
35%
Draws
37%
Chotebor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chotebor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Tasovice have won more games recently than Chotebor.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular 4. liga - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tasovice Clean Sheet 19%
Chotebor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tasovice Chotebor
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.62 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 4. liga - Group D
Chotebor vs Tasovice
3:1
Sep 14, 2025 4. liga - Group D
Tasovice vs Chotebor
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tasovice 36 / 100
Chotebor 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tasovice Chotebor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chotebor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Tasovice scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Chotebor let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Tasovice stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tasovice VS Chotebor
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tasovice

(Home)
04 Oct
Zdar nad Sazavou
0 : 1
Tasovice
27 Sept
Tasovice
1 : 1
FS Trebic
19 Sept
Sparta Brno
3 : 2
Tasovice
13 Sept
Tasovice
0 : 0
Bystrc
05 Sept
FC Kurim
1 : 1
Tasovice
Page 1 of 6

Chotebor

(Away)
04 Oct
Chotebor
0 : 1
Slovan Havlickuv Brod
27 Sept
Humpolec
0 : 0
Chotebor
19 Sept
Chotebor
4 : 2
Znojmo
12 Sept
Chotebor
0 : 0
Velka Bites
06 Sept
Zdar nad Sazavou
0 : 2
Chotebor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velka Bites 9 5 3 1 15:10 18
2 Bohunice 9 5 2 2 21:9 17
3 FC Kurim 9 5 1 3 25:13 16
4 Slovan Havlickuv Brod 9 5 1 3 16:11 16
5 Sparta Brno 9 5 1 3 14:13 16
6 FS Trebic 9 5 1 3 11:15 16
7 Znojmo 9 4 3 2 17:10 15
8 Pelhrimov 9 4 2 3 21:13 14
9 Tasovice 9 3 5 1 14:9 14
10 Bystrc 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
11 Humpolec 9 2 3 4 8:10 9
12 Chotebor 9 2 3 4 9:17 9
13 Velke Mezirici 9 2 3 4 10:20 9
14 Zdar nad Sazavou 9 2 2 5 14:16 8
15 Zdirec nad Doubravou 9 2 2 5 14:21 8
16 Bedrichov 9 0 2 7 9:30 2
Promotion - 3. MSFL 2027/2028 (Main)