Sport Picks

Wales

Division 1 2013/2014

Tata Steel

1 - 1

Aberdare Town

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2013/2014 game between Tata Steel and Aberdare Town finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Tata Steel

40%

Draws

29%

Aberdare Town

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Aberdare Town carry the better recent record into this one.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Division 1 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 80%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Tata Steel Clean Sheet 10%

Aberdare Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tata Steel	Aberdare Town
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	7	10
Draws	6	5
Losses	17	16
Goals Scored	1	0.75
Goals Conceded	4	2.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	4.00	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2013 Division 1

Tata Steel vs Aberdare Town

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Aug 31, 2013 Division 1

Aberdare Town vs Tata Steel

Possession: 45% - 49% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Apr 6, 2013 Division 1

Tata Steel vs Aberdare Town

Possession: 55% - 54% Cards: 4 - 3

0:3

Feb 9, 2013 Division 1

Aberdare Town vs Tata Steel

Possession: 57% - 60% Cards: 3 - 2

2:2

Nov 10, 2012 FA Cup

Aberdare Town vs Tata Steel

Possession: 44% - 46% Cards: 4 - 1

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tata Steel 30 / 100

Aberdare Town 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tata Steel Aberdare Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tata Steel scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Aberdare Town has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Difficult form: Aberdare Town registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tata Steel VS Aberdare Town

1 Goals Scored 0.75

4 Goals Conceded 2.25

100% Over 1.5 88%

100% Over 2.5 75%

100% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Monmouth	30	21	2	7	78:33	65
2	Taffs Well	30	19	6	5	63:30	63
3	Penybont	30	17	4	9	77:44	55
4	Haverfordwest	30	16	7	7	59:37	55
5	Goytre AFC	30	15	9	6	49:43	54
6	Cambrian United	30	15	5	10	60:44	50
7	Caerau Ely	30	12	10	8	52:51	46
8	Aberdare Town	30	13	5	12	49:48	44
9	Goytre Utd	30	11	6	13	56:43	39
10	AFC Porth	30	10	9	11	48:49	39
11	Ton Pentre	30	9	11	10	36:47	38
12	Pontardawe	30	9	6	15	34:60	33
13	Cwmbran Celtic	30	7	5	18	40:58	26
14	Tata Steel	30	6	7	17	29:65	25
15	Aberbargoed Buds	30	4	8	18	35:65	17
16	West End	30	5	2	23	36:84	17