Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tata Steel vs Marshfield - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2014/2015
Sat, Oct 4, 2014
1 - 2
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Marshfield advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tata Steel
25%
Draws
35%
Marshfield
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Tata Steel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Tata Steel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Tata Steel have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Marshfield, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Tata Steel Clean Sheet 13%
Marshfield Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tata Steel Marshfield
Matches Played 30 2
Wins 7 1
Draws 6 0
Losses 17 1
Goals Scored 1.1 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2014 FAW Welsh Cup
Tata Steel vs Marshfield
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tata Steel 31 / 100
Marshfield 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tata Steel Marshfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marshfield Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Marshfield conceded in 100% of 2 recent games.

Tata Steel scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Tata Steel went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tata Steel VS Marshfield
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tata Steel

(Home)
20 Sept
Pontyclun FC
4 : 1
Tata Steel
04 Oct
Tata Steel
1 : 2
Marshfield
10 May
Goytre AFC
0 : 0
Tata Steel
07 May
Tata Steel
2 : 4
AFC Porth
26 Apr
Tata Steel
2 : 1
Cwmbran Celtic
Page 1 of 6

Marshfield

(Away)
07 Nov
Afan Lido
4 : 1
Marshfield
04 Oct
Tata Steel
1 : 2
Marshfield

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhayader 1
Carno FC 0
STM Sports 0
Haverfordwest 2
Prestatyn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ammanford Town 5
Sully Sports 2
Llwydcoed 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 9
Holywell Town FC 4
Hay St. Marys 2
Welshpool 0
Mold Alexandra 4
Waterloo Rovers 2
Llanuwchllyn 1
Ruthin Town 2
Buckley 3
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Penybont 1
Dinas Powys 0
Ton Pentre 0
Monmouth 3
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Gresford 3
Llay Welfare 1
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 2
Llanfair United 3
Meliden 3
Rhydymwyn 0
Llangefni 3
St. Asaph 6
Caernarfon 4
Porthmadog 0
Penycae FC 1
Guilsfield 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llangollen 3
Llandrindod 2
Brynford 0
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 1
Tiger Bay 3
Trefelin 2
Butetown FC 2
Dynamo Aber 4
Llanberis FC 6
Nantlle Vale FC 5
Llandudno FC 0
Caersws FC 1
Conwy Borough 2
Holyhead 0
Coedpoeth 0
Denbigh 3
Aberdare Town 4
Barry Town 2
Aberbargoed Buds 1
Briton Ferry 4
Garden Village 9
AFC Porth 0
Canton 1
Risca United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor City -
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Albion Rovers 3
Cardiff Corries 1
Cambrian United 0
Undy 2
Penrhyncoch 2
Flint Town 1
Gaerwen 0
Llanidloes Town 4
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Llanelli 1
Taffs Well 0
Caerau Ely 3
Llanrhaeadr 4
Glan Conwy FC 2
Kerry 1
Brickfield Rangers 2
Marshfield 2
Tata Steel 1
Chepstow Town 0
Afan Lido 4
Goytre Utd 4
Goytre AFC 0
Pontardawe 0
Cornelly 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhyl -
1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TBD -
Rhayader 1
Haverfordwest 2
Prestatyn -
TBD -
Ammanford Town 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Holywell Town FC 1
Mold Alexandra 0
Waterloo Rovers 0
Buckley 6
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
Penybont 1
Monmouth 3
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Gresford 2
Llanfair United 1
Meliden 0
St. Asaph 1
Caernarfon 1
Guilsfield 0
TBD -
TNS -
Newtown -
TBD -
Llangollen 2
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 5
Tiger Bay 3
Dynamo Aber 2
Llanberis FC 0
Caersws FC 3
Conwy Borough 5
Denbigh 0
Aberdare Town 1
Briton Ferry 5
Garden Village 2
Risca United 1
TBD -
Bangor City -
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Albion Rovers 0
Undy 2
Penrhyncoch 2
Llanidloes Town 0
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Caerau Ely 2
Llanrhaeadr 2
Brickfield Rangers 1
Marshfield 1
Afan Lido 4
Goytre Utd 5
Cornelly 1
TBD -
Rhyl -
1/16-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC 5
Haverfordwest 0
Prestatyn 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Holywell Town FC 1
Buckley 0
Cefn Druids 1
Aberystwyth 5
Connahs Q. 5
Monmouth 3
Port Talbot 1
Bala 2
Gresford 5
St. Asaph 0
Caernarfon 2
TNS 3
Newtown 2
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 0
Tiger Bay 0
Caersws FC 4
Conwy Borough 4
Briton Ferry 3
Garden Village 0
Bangor City 1
Carmarthen Town 4
Undy 2
Penrhyncoch 0
Caerau Ely 5
Llanrhaeadr 3
Afan Lido 0
Goytre Utd 1
Rhyl 2
1/8-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC 4
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Holywell Town FC 0
Aberystwyth 1
Connahs Q. 3
Bala 2
Gresford 0
TNS 3
Newtown 3
Caersws FC 2
Conwy Borough 0
Bangor City 3
Carmarthen Town 4
Caerau Ely 0
Llanrhaeadr 2
Rhyl 4
Quarter-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Aberystwyth 1
Connahs Q. 0
TNS 1
Newtown 2
Bangor City 1
Carmarthen Town 1
Rhyl 2
Semi-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
TNS 4
Newtown 2
Rhyl 1
Final
TNS 2
Newtown 0