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Tatabanya vs Papai Perutz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Northwest 2025/2026 Grosics Gyula Stadion, Tatabanya
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Vernes R.
29' Event
Szalanszki G.
35' Event
Szegleti G.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Northwest 2025/2026 game between Tatabanya and Papai Perutz finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tatabanya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Tatabanya
20%
Draws
23%
Papai Perutz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tatabanya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tatabanya come out ahead of Papai Perutz on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tatabanya a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NB III - Northwest 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Tatabanya Clean Sheet 68%
Papai Perutz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tatabanya Papai Perutz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 2.55 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.24 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 NB III - Northwest
Tatabanya vs Papai Perutz
6:2
Sep 21, 2025 NB III - Northwest
Papai Perutz vs Tatabanya
0:1
Feb 20, 2022 NB III - West
Papai Perutz vs Tatabanya
3:1
Aug 15, 2021 NB III - West
Tatabanya vs Papai Perutz
0:0
Feb 28, 2021 NB III - West
Papai Perutz vs Tatabanya
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tatabanya Compare

Top Goalscorer Vernes R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Szalanszki G.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Papai Perutz Compare

Top Goalscorer Nagy D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nagy K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tatabanya 95 / 100
Papai Perutz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tatabanya Papai Perutz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tatabanya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tatabanya found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).

Papai Perutz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Tatabanya remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tatabanya VS Papai Perutz
2.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tatabanya

(Home)
03 Oct
Komaromi VSE
0 : 2
Tatabanya
26 Sept
Tatabanya
3 : 1
1908 SZAC KSE
19 Sept
VSC Veszprem
1 : 2
Tatabanya
12 Sept
Tatabanya
4 : 5
Kecskemeti TE
05 Sept
Tatabanya
2 : 2
Kiraly SE
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Papai Perutz

(Away)
03 Oct
Papai Perutz
2 : 1
Gyor II
27 Sept
Haladas VSE
4 : 0
Papai Perutz
19 Sept
Papai Perutz
0 : 0
Mosonmagyarovari TE
05 Sept
Dorogi FC
2 : 1
Papai Perutz
29 Aug
Papai Perutz
0 : 5
Puskas Academy II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gyirmot FC Gyor 30 27 1 2 106:20 82
2 Tatabanya 30 20 2 8 64:37 62
3 Dorogi FC 30 18 4 8 49:34 58
4 Puskas Academy II 30 17 3 10 58:37 54
5 Komaromi VSE 30 15 6 9 59:45 51
6 Haladas VSE 30 15 6 9 43:32 51
7 Mosonmagyarovari TE 30 14 5 11 48:33 47
8 VSC Veszprem 30 12 8 10 36:37 44
9 Budaorsi SC 30 12 5 13 53:51 41
10 Bicskei 30 10 6 14 50:51 36
11 Gyor II 30 10 4 16 47:63 34
12 Ujpest II 30 9 7 14 46:50 34
13 Sopron 30 9 7 14 43:58 34
14 Papai Perutz 30 6 4 20 43:83 22
15 Balatonfuredi 30 4 6 20 20:62 18
16 Zsambek 30 3 4 23 35:107 13
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)