Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tau vs Seravezza Pozzi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Sava S.
49' Event
Sava S.

AI Match Summary

Seravezza Pozzi in this Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Tau
30%
Draws
29%
Seravezza Pozzi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Seravezza Pozzi haven't matched Tau's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Seravezza Pozzi's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Tau have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Seravezza Pozzi, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Tau Clean Sheet 12%
Seravezza Pozzi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tau Seravezza Pozzi
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 12
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.54 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Tau vs Seravezza Pozzi
0:2
Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs Tau
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Tau vs Seravezza Pozzi
2:2
Feb 4, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs Tau
1:1
Oct 8, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Tau vs Seravezza Pozzi
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Seravezza Pozzi Compare

Top Goalscorer Sava S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tau 27 / 100
Seravezza Pozzi 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tau Seravezza Pozzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Seravezza Pozzi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tau found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Seravezza Pozzi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Tau remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tau VS Seravezza Pozzi
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tau

(Home)
16 Sept
Tau
3 : 2
Siena
12 Sept
Montevarchi
4 : 1
Tau
06 Sept
Tau
2 : 1
SCD Progresso
12 Aug
Tau
0 : 1
US Pontedera
05 Aug
Grosseto
2 : 2
Tau
Page 1 of 6

Seravezza Pozzi

(Away)
16 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 1
Montevarchi
12 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
5 : 0
Lucchese
06 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
2 : 1
Seravezza Pozzi
21 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 1
Scandicci
14 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 0
Pistoiese
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Prato 3
Siena 1
Tau 0
Seravezza Pozzi 2
Final
Prato 1
Seravezza Pozzi 2