Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tau vs Seravezza Pozzi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Sava S.
49' Event
Sava S.

AI Match Summary

Seravezza Pozzi in this Serie D - Group E tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Tau
39%
Draws
31%
Seravezza Pozzi
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Seravezza Pozzi haven't matched Tau's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Tau have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Seravezza Pozzi, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Tau Clean Sheet 68%
Seravezza Pozzi Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tau Seravezza Pozzi
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 13
Draws 8 12
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Tau vs Seravezza Pozzi
0:2
Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs Tau
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Tau vs Seravezza Pozzi
2:2
Feb 4, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs Tau
1:1
Oct 8, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Tau vs Seravezza Pozzi
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Seravezza Pozzi Compare

Top Goalscorer Sava S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tau 41 / 100
Seravezza Pozzi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tau Seravezza Pozzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tau found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Seravezza Pozzi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Tau remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tau VS Seravezza Pozzi
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tau

(Home)
10 May
Tau
0 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
03 May
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 2
Tau
26 Apr
Tau
3 : 2
Terranuova Traiana
19 Apr
Poggibonsi
0 : 0
Tau
12 Apr
Tau
1 : 0
Cannara
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Seravezza Pozzi

(Away)
17 May
Prato
1 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
10 May
Tau
0 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
03 May
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1
Seravezza Pozzi
26 Apr
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 0
Foligno
19 Apr
Ghiviborgo
1 : 0
Seravezza Pozzi
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Prato3
Siena1
Tau0
Seravezza Pozzi2
Final
Prato1
Seravezza Pozzi2