Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Taubate vs Ferroviaria

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Garcia J.
31' Event
Macario
56' Event
Denilson Chaves

AI Match Summary

Ferroviaria in this Paulista A2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferroviaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Taubate
35%
Draws
34%
Ferroviaria
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ferroviaria lately — more wins on the board than Taubate.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Taubate taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Taubate Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taubate Ferroviaria
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 13 9
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.2 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Paulista A2
Taubate vs Ferroviaria
1:2
Jan 29, 2025 Paulista A2
Ferroviaria vs Taubate
3:2
Mar 6, 2024 Paulista A2
Ferroviaria vs Taubate
0:0
Jan 31, 2010 Paulista A3
Taubate vs Ferroviaria
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taubate Compare

Top Goalscorer Macario
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Ferroviaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Denilson Chaves
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taubate 36 / 100
Ferroviaria 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taubate Ferroviaria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taubate went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Taubate's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Ferroviaria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ferroviaria
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Taubate

(Home)
07 Mar
Taubate
1 : 1
Gremio Prudente
28 Feb
Sao Bento
2 : 3
Taubate
25 Feb
Taubate
1 : 1
Piracicaba
21 Feb
Agua Santa
2 : 3
Taubate
18 Feb
Taubate
1 : 1
Santo Andre
Page 1 of 6

Ferroviaria

(Away)
20 Sept
Ferroviaria
3 : 2
Brusque
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Paysandu PA
05 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
3 : 3
Ferroviaria
29 Aug
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Confianca
23 Aug
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Ferroviaria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agua Santa 15 10 1 4 24:14 31
2 Ferroviaria 15 8 4 3 22:12 28
3 Ituano 15 8 4 3 22:14 28
4 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 21:13 27
5 Sertaozinho 15 7 4 4 19:19 25
6 Votuporanguense 15 7 3 5 16:17 24
7 Juventus-SP 15 6 5 4 22:20 23
8 Piracicaba 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
9 Osasco Sporting 15 5 7 3 22:18 22
10 Santo Andre 15 5 3 7 16:22 18
11 Taubate 15 3 8 4 22:23 17
12 Internacional de Limeira 15 4 4 7 15:18 16
13 Linense 15 2 7 6 12:18 13
14 Monte Azul 15 2 6 7 17:22 12
15 Gremio Prudente 15 1 9 5 12:16 12
16 Sao Bento 15 1 2 12 8:25 5
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Second stage)
Relegation - Paulista A3 (Main)