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Taubate vs Ituano

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Matheus Mancini
78'
Renan Diniz

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A2 game between Taubate and Ituano finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ituano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Taubate
30%
Draws
18%
Ituano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Taubate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ituano come out ahead of Taubate on wins alone.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Taubate taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Taubate Clean Sheet 68%
Ituano Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taubate Ituano
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 10
Draws 13 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.2 1
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Paulista A2
Taubate vs Ituano
0:1
Feb 26, 2025 Paulista A2
Ituano vs Taubate
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taubate Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Ituano Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Mancini
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taubate 95 / 100
Ituano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taubate Ituano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taubate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Taubate remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Taubate scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Ituano conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Ituano's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ituano
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Taubate

(Home)
07 Mar
Taubate
1 : 1
Gremio Prudente
28 Feb
Sao Bento
2 : 3
Taubate
25 Feb
Taubate
1 : 1
Piracicaba
21 Feb
Agua Santa
2 : 3
Taubate
18 Feb
Taubate
1 : 1
Santo Andre
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Ituano

(Away)
29 Aug
Floresta EC
2 : 0
Ituano
22 Aug
Ituano
0 : 1
Paysandu PA
15 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 0
Ituano
08 Aug
Ituano
2 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0
Ituano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agua Santa 15 10 1 4 24:14 31
2 Ferroviaria 15 8 4 3 22:12 28
3 Ituano 15 8 4 3 22:14 28
4 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 21:13 27
5 Sertaozinho 15 7 4 4 19:19 25
6 Votuporanguense 15 7 3 5 16:17 24
7 Juventus-SP 15 6 5 4 22:20 23
8 Piracicaba 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
9 Osasco Sporting 15 5 7 3 22:18 22
10 Santo Andre 15 5 3 7 16:22 18
11 Taubate 15 3 8 4 22:23 17
12 Internacional de Limeira 15 4 4 7 15:18 16
13 Linense 15 2 7 6 12:18 13
14 Monte Azul 15 2 6 7 17:22 12
15 Gremio Prudente 15 1 9 5 12:16 12
16 Sao Bento 15 1 2 12 8:25 5
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Second stage)
Relegation - Paulista A3 (Main)