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Taubate vs Monte Azul

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Macario
20' Event
Vitinho
39' Event
Macario

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A2 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Taubate
35%
Draws
6%
Monte Azul
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Taubate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Monte Azul lately — more wins on the board than Taubate.
  • Taubate are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista A2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Taubate Clean Sheet 68%
Monte Azul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taubate Monte Azul
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 8
Draws 13 12
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.2 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Paulista A2
Taubate vs Monte Azul
3:3
Jan 28, 2024 Paulista A2
Taubate vs Monte Azul
2:1
Jan 22, 2023 Paulista A2
Monte Azul vs Taubate
1:1
Feb 20, 2022 Paulista A2
Monte Azul vs Taubate
1:1
May 1, 2021 Paulista A2
Taubate vs Monte Azul
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taubate Compare

Top Goalscorer Macario
2 Goals
Assists Leader Romarinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Monte Azul Compare

Top Goalscorer Allan Passos
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vitinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taubate 95 / 100
Monte Azul 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taubate Monte Azul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taubate has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Taubate's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Monte Azul conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Taubate VS Monte Azul
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Taubate

(Home)
07 Mar
Taubate
1 : 1
Gremio Prudente
28 Feb
Sao Bento
2 : 3
Taubate
25 Feb
Taubate
1 : 1
Piracicaba
21 Feb
Agua Santa
2 : 3
Taubate
18 Feb
Taubate
1 : 1
Santo Andre
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Monte Azul

(Away)
07 Mar
Ituano
3 : 3
Monte Azul
04 Mar
Monte Azul
0 : 2
Sertaozinho
01 Mar
Monte Azul
0 : 1
Agua Santa
25 Feb
Monte Azul
1 : 3
Juventus-SP
22 Feb
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Monte Azul
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agua Santa 15 10 1 4 24:14 31
2 Ferroviaria 15 8 4 3 22:12 28
3 Ituano 15 8 4 3 22:14 28
4 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 21:13 27
5 Sertaozinho 15 7 4 4 19:19 25
6 Votuporanguense 15 7 3 5 16:17 24
7 Juventus-SP 15 6 5 4 22:20 23
8 Piracicaba 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
9 Osasco Sporting 15 5 7 3 22:18 22
10 Santo Andre 15 5 3 7 16:22 18
11 Taubate 15 3 8 4 22:23 17
12 Internacional de Limeira 15 4 4 7 15:18 16
13 Linense 15 2 7 6 12:18 13
14 Monte Azul 15 2 6 7 17:22 12
15 Gremio Prudente 15 1 9 5 12:16 12
16 Sao Bento 15 1 2 12 8:25 5
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Second stage)
Relegation - Paulista A3 (Main)