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Taubate vs Osasco Sporting

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Ferreira de Lima M.
56' Event
Braga J.
82' Event
Lima R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Osasco Sporting advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Taubate
33%
Draws
27%
Osasco Sporting
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Taubate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Osasco Sporting come out ahead of Taubate on wins alone.
  • Model gives Taubate a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Osasco Sporting arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Osasco Sporting, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Taubate Clean Sheet 68%
Osasco Sporting Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taubate Osasco Sporting
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 14 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2026 Paulista A2
Taubate vs Osasco Sporting
2:2
Aug 1, 2025 Copa Paulista
Taubate vs Osasco Sporting
1:2
Jun 30, 2025 Copa Paulista
Osasco Sporting vs Taubate
0:0
Feb 5, 2025 Paulista A2
Osasco Sporting vs Taubate
2:2
Feb 10, 2024 Paulista A2
Taubate vs Osasco Sporting
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taubate Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira de Lima M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Osasco Sporting Compare

Top Goalscorer Braga J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lima R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taubate 50 / 100
Osasco Sporting 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taubate Osasco Sporting

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Taubate stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Taubate scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Osasco Sporting let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Taubate VS Osasco Sporting
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Taubate

(Home)
07 Mar
Taubate
1 : 1
Gremio Prudente
28 Feb
Sao Bento
2 : 3
Taubate
25 Feb
Taubate
1 : 1
Piracicaba
21 Feb
Agua Santa
2 : 3
Taubate
18 Feb
Taubate
1 : 1
Santo Andre
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Osasco Sporting

(Away)
25 Jul
Primavera EC
2 : 0
Osasco Sporting
19 Jul
Osasco Sporting
0 : 1
Juventus-SP
07 Mar
Agua Santa
2 : 1
Osasco Sporting
01 Mar
Osasco Sporting
2 : 0
Ituano
25 Feb
Internacional de Limeira
1 : 3
Osasco Sporting
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gremio Prudente844012:616
2Monte Azul84228:714
3Noroeste83237:711
4AEA Aracatuba82248:98
5Linense81255:115
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uniao Sao Joao1054115:1019
2Comercial1052313:917
3Internacional de Limeira1035217:1314
4Francana103528:814
5Botafogo SP B102358:129
6Itapirense1021711:207
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Piracicaba1073013:424
2Primavera EC1054115:919
3Paulista1041510:1013
4Sao Bento1025312:1411
5Guarani B1022610:168
6Rio Branco SP100556:135
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Jose EC1062219:720
2Portuguesa Santista1036111:815
3Osasco Sporting104248:1014
4Sao Caetano104158:1113
5Taubate102449:1010
6Santo Andre101544:138
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)