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Taubate vs Osasco Sporting

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Ferreira de Lima M.
56' Event
Braga J.
82' Event
Lima R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Osasco Sporting advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Taubate
35%
Draws
20%
Osasco Sporting
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Taubate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Osasco Sporting come out ahead of Taubate on wins alone.
  • Model gives Taubate a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Osasco Sporting arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Osasco Sporting, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Taubate Clean Sheet 68%
Osasco Sporting Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taubate Osasco Sporting
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 10
Draws 13 10
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.2 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2026 Paulista A2
Taubate vs Osasco Sporting
2:2
Aug 1, 2025 Copa Paulista
Taubate vs Osasco Sporting
1:2
Jun 30, 2025 Copa Paulista
Osasco Sporting vs Taubate
0:0
Feb 5, 2025 Paulista A2
Osasco Sporting vs Taubate
2:2
Feb 10, 2024 Paulista A2
Taubate vs Osasco Sporting
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taubate Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira de Lima M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Osasco Sporting Compare

Top Goalscorer Braga J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lima R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taubate 95 / 100
Osasco Sporting 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taubate Osasco Sporting

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taubate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Taubate stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Taubate scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Osasco Sporting let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Taubate VS Osasco Sporting
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Taubate

(Home)
07 Mar
Taubate
1 : 1
Gremio Prudente
28 Feb
Sao Bento
2 : 3
Taubate
25 Feb
Taubate
1 : 1
Piracicaba
21 Feb
Agua Santa
2 : 3
Taubate
18 Feb
Taubate
1 : 1
Santo Andre
Page 1 of 6

Osasco Sporting

(Away)
22 Aug
Juventus-SP
5 : 0
Osasco Sporting
16 Aug
Osasco Sporting
1 : 2
Primavera EC
09 Aug
Osasco Sporting
1 : 1
Paulista
01 Aug
Paulista
0 : 2
Osasco Sporting
25 Jul
Primavera EC
2 : 0
Osasco Sporting
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Prudente 8 4 4 0 12:6 16
2 Monte Azul 8 4 2 2 8:7 14
3 Noroeste 8 3 2 3 7:7 11
4 AEA Aracatuba 8 2 2 4 8:9 8
5 Linense 8 1 2 5 5:11 5
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Sao Joao 10 5 4 1 15:10 19
2 Comercial 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
3 Internacional de Limeira 10 3 5 2 17:13 14
4 Francana 10 3 5 2 8:8 14
5 Botafogo SP B 10 2 3 5 8:12 9
6 Itapirense 10 2 1 7 11:20 7
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Piracicaba 10 7 3 0 13:4 24
2 Primavera EC 10 5 4 1 15:9 19
3 Paulista 10 4 1 5 10:10 13
4 Sao Bento 10 2 5 3 12:14 11
5 Guarani B 10 2 2 6 10:16 8
6 Rio Branco SP 10 0 5 5 6:13 5
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose EC 10 6 2 2 19:7 20
2 Portuguesa Santista 10 3 6 1 11:8 15
3 Osasco Sporting 10 4 2 4 8:10 14
4 Sao Caetano 10 4 1 5 8:11 13
5 Taubate 10 2 4 4 9:10 10
6 Santo Andre 10 1 5 4 4:13 8
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)