Sport Picks
Tauras Taurage vs Neptunas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Lithuania
I Lyga 
Match Events
7'
7'
Zubauskas D.
81'
81'
Jermolajev E.
AI Match Summary
Neptunas in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Neptunas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Neptunas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Tauras Taurage lately — more wins on the board than Neptunas.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tauras Taurage Clean Sheet 17%
Neptunas Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tauras Taurage | Neptunas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 I Lyga
Tauras Taurage vs Neptunas
0:2
Mar 22, 2026 I Lyga
Neptunas vs Tauras Taurage
1:0
Feb 2, 2026 Club Friendly
Tauras Taurage vs Neptunas
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 I Lyga
Tauras Taurage vs Neptunas
1:4
May 9, 2025 I Lyga
Neptunas vs Tauras Taurage
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tauras Taurage Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Neptunas Compare
Top Goalscorer Zubauskas D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jermolajev E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tauras Taurage 31 / 100
Neptunas 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tauras Taurage Neptunas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Neptunas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tauras Taurage scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Neptunas let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Tauras Taurage remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Tauras Taurage VS Neptunas
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Tauras Taurage
(Home) 18 Sept
Jonava
2 : 3 Tauras Taurage
12 Sept
Tauras Taurage
0 : 1 Zalgiris 2
05 Sept
FK Atmosfera
3 : 1 Tauras Taurage
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2 BFA Vilnius
21 Aug
FK Babrungas
1 : 1 Tauras Taurage
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Tauras Taurage
0 : 1 Zalgiris 2
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2 BFA Vilnius
08 Aug
Tauras Taurage
0 : 2 Neptunas
24 Jul
Tauras Taurage
4 : 2 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Jul
Tauras Taurage
3 : 1 Siauliai 2
Page 1 of 3
Neptunas
(Away) 19 Sept
FK Minija
2 : 1 Neptunas
11 Sept
Neptunas
2 : 0 Jonava
07 Sept
Zalgiris 2
1 : 0 Neptunas
29 Aug
Neptunas
3 : 1 FK Atmosfera
22 Aug
BFA Vilnius
2 : 0 Neptunas
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
FK Minija
2 : 1 Neptunas
07 Sept
Zalgiris 2
1 : 0 Neptunas
22 Aug
BFA Vilnius
2 : 0 Neptunas
08 Aug
Tauras Taurage
0 : 2 Neptunas
01 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1 Neptunas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minija | 25 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 68:13 | 67 |
| 2 | FK Babrungas | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 43:11 | 61 |
| 3 | BE1 NFA | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 44:24 | 50 |
| 4 | Neptunas | 25 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 33:30 | 44 |
| 5 | BFA Vilnius | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 39:35 | 43 |
| 6 | Zalgiris 2 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 38:32 | 43 |
| 7 | Tauras Taurage | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 43:31 | 43 |
| 8 | Dainava Alytus | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35:25 | 40 |
| 9 | FK Atmosfera | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37:33 | 30 |
| 10 | Garliava | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 31:28 | 28 |
| 11 | Jonava | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 28:33 | 27 |
| 12 | FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 17 | 23:43 | 22 |
| 13 | Transinvest 2 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 29:58 | 21 |
| 14 | Hegelmann Litauen 2 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 26:59 | 19 |
| 15 | Siauliai 2 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 27:56 | 17 |
| 16 | Ekranas | 25 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 25:58 | 14 |
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)
