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Tavua vs Navua

Fiji Fiji

Premier League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Damuni S.
71' Event
Baravilala F.
83' Event

AI Match Summary

Navua in this Premier League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Navua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Tavua
20%
Draws
70%
Navua
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Navua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Navua have won more games recently than Tavua.
  • Win probability leans Navua's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Tavua Clean Sheet 16%
Navua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tavua Navua
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.8 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2025 Premier League
Tavua vs Navua
1:2
Apr 27, 2025 Premier League
Navua vs Tavua
3:0
Jul 16, 2023 Premier League
Tavua vs Navua
2:2
Mar 5, 2023 Premier League
Navua vs Tavua
1:1
Jul 27, 2013 Premier League
Navua vs Tavua
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tavua Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Navua Compare

Top Goalscorer Damuni S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baravilala F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tavua 10 / 100
Navua 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tavua Navua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Navua Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Navua's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Tavua scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Tavua stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tavua VS Navua
1 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tavua

(Home)
27 Sept
Tavua
1 : 2
Ba
13 Sept
Nasinu
5 : 2
Tavua
30 Aug
Tavua
1 : 2
Navua
24 Aug
Nadroga
1 : 1
Tavua
27 Jul
Lautoka
2 : 0
Tavua
Page 1 of 6

Navua

(Away)
02 Aug
Tailevu Naitasiri
2 : 7
Navua
26 Jul
Navua
0 : 1
Labasa
19 Jul
Ba
1 : 0
Navua
12 Jul
Navua
2 : 1
Lautoka
05 Jul
Navua
2 : 2
Suva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rewa 18 13 4 1 51:13 43
2 Labasa 18 11 4 3 45:24 37
3 Lautoka 18 11 1 6 30:23 34
4 Ba 18 7 6 5 41:23 27
5 Navua 18 8 2 8 22:25 26
6 Suva 18 5 8 5 29:24 23
7 Nadi 18 5 5 8 31:35 20
8 Nadroga 18 5 4 9 26:41 19
9 Nasinu 18 5 3 10 28:56 18
10 Tavua 18 0 3 15 12:51 3
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