Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tbilisi City vs Guria

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2021 game between Tbilisi City and Guria finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tbilisi City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Tbilisi City
22%
Draws
60%
Guria
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guria come out ahead of Tbilisi City on wins alone.
  • Guria are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tbilisi City have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Tbilisi City Clean Sheet 10%
Guria Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tbilisi City Guria
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 11 18
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0 2.75
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2022 Liga 3
Guria vs Tbilisi City
0:1
Jun 20, 2022 Liga 3
Tbilisi City vs Guria
1:4
Nov 11, 2021 Liga 3
Tbilisi City vs Guria
2:1
Jun 10, 2021 Liga 3
Guria vs Tbilisi City
0:2
Oct 10, 2020 Liga 3
Tbilisi City vs Guria
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tbilisi City 18 / 100
Guria 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tbilisi City Guria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tbilisi City scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Guria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Tbilisi City stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Guria
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tbilisi City

(Home)
27 May
Shukura 2
2 : 1
Tbilisi City
01 Dec
Tbilisi City
6 : 0
Zestafoni
24 Nov
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
4 : 1
Tbilisi City
17 Nov
Tbilisi City
1 : 2
FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II
10 Nov
Guria
0 : 1
Tbilisi City
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Guria

(Away)
26 Jul
Guria
1 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi
26 Jun
Guria
6 : 1
Merani Tbilisi
21 Jun
Didube
1 : 2
Guria
15 Jun
Guria
5 : 2
Iveria Khashuri
28 May
Orbi
1 : 2
Guria
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spaeri26204279:2064
2Kolkheti 191326147554:2849
3Tbilisi City26136746:3045
4FC Tbilisi 202526125943:3741
5Dusheti261241037:3240
6Gori26108833:3338
7Iberia 1999 226108853:3638
8Bakhmaro Chokhatauri2689926:3333
9FC Kolkheti Khobi26613732:3931
10Meshakhte Tkibuli26861231:4230
11Guria26851333:4429
12FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II26841433:5028
13Chiatura26561523:4621
14Didube26351825:7814
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2021 (Relegation)