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Team Wellington vs Eastern Suburbs

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Watson H.
43' Event
Bevin A.
46' Event
Watson H.

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship game between Team Wellington and Eastern Suburbs finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Team Wellington.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Team Wellington
15%
Draws
24%
Eastern Suburbs
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Team Wellington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Eastern Suburbs have managed 1.98 goals a game lately — Team Wellington are scoring more at 2.41.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Team Wellington taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Team Wellington Clean Sheet 10%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Team Wellington Eastern Suburbs
Matches Played 29 41
Wins 18 18
Draws 8 7
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 2.41 1.98
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2021 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Eastern Suburbs
7:0
Dec 13, 2020 Football Championship
Eastern Suburbs vs Team Wellington
1:1
Mar 1, 2020 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Eastern Suburbs
4:1
Dec 8, 2019 Football Championship
Eastern Suburbs vs Team Wellington
2:3
Mar 31, 2019 Football Championship
Eastern Suburbs vs Team Wellington
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Team Wellington Compare

Top Goalscorer Watson H.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Bevin A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Eastern Suburbs Compare

Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Team Wellington 83 / 100
Eastern Suburbs 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Team Wellington Eastern Suburbs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Team Wellington Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Team Wellington found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Team Wellington remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Eastern Suburbs's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 41 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Eastern Suburbs
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Team Wellington

(Home)
21 Mar
Auckland City
2 : 4
Team Wellington
13 Mar
Team Wellington
4 : 1
Hamilton
27 Feb
Team Wellington
3 : 2
Hamilton
20 Feb
Canterbury
0 : 2
Team Wellington
13 Feb
Team Wellington
7 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
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Eastern Suburbs

(Away)
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2
Wellington Olympic
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2
Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3
Eastern Suburbs
24 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 2
Western Suburbs
16 Nov
Cashmere Technical
1 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 14 8 4 2 27:13 28
2 Team Wellington 14 7 5 2 35:21 26
3 Hamilton 14 5 5 4 23:21 20
4 Eastern Suburbs 14 5 4 5 25:23 19
5 Waitakere United 14 4 6 4 28:26 18
6 Canterbury 14 5 3 6 21:24 18
7 Hawke s Bay 14 4 1 9 17:29 13
8 Wellington Phoenix 2 14 2 4 8 18:37 10
Promotion - Football Championship (Play Offs)