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Team Wellington vs Lupe ole Soaga

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Schrijvers T.
24' Event
Allen R.
31' Event
Allen R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Team Wellington in this OFC Champions League 2018 matchup, with the score ending 7-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Team Wellington.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Team Wellington
39%
Draws
30%
Lupe ole Soaga
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Team Wellington lately — more wins on the board than Lupe ole Soaga.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2018 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 79%
Over 4.5 Goals 36%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Team Wellington Clean Sheet 10%
Lupe ole Soaga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Team Wellington Lupe ole Soaga
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 11
Draws 7 3
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 2.38 5
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 5.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2018 OFC Champions League
Team Wellington vs Lupe ole Soaga
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Team Wellington Compare

Top Goalscorer Allen R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Schrijvers T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Lupe ole Soaga Compare

Avg xG / game 4.55
Avg xA / game 2.78

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Team Wellington 30 / 100
Lupe ole Soaga 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Team Wellington Lupe ole Soaga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Team Wellington's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 8.00 goals per match.

Team Wellington has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Lupe ole Soaga has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Team Wellington VS Lupe ole Soaga
2.38 Goals Scored 5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.17
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 83%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nalkutan33009:19
2Lae City32019:66
3Ba31024:33
4Tupapa30033:150
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Dragon32019:56
2Solomon Warriors32018:46
3Erakor Golden Star31117:64
4Lossi30123:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland City330013:09
2Lautoka32015:36
3Venus31023:103
4Madang Fox30032:100
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Team Wellington321013:37
2Marist31205:35
3Magenta31114:64
4Lupe ole Soaga30032:120