Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Team Wellington vs Manawatu

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship 2012/2013 game between Team Wellington and Manawatu finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Team Wellington.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Team Wellington
15%
Draws
14%
Manawatu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Team Wellington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Team Wellington come out ahead of Manawatu on wins alone.
  • Team Wellington are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Football Championship 2012/2013 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Team Wellington here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Team Wellington Clean Sheet 20%
Manawatu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Team Wellington Manawatu
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 25 2
Draws 8 3
Losses 4 25
Goals Scored 2.62 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.11 3.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2013 Football Championship
Manawatu vs Team Wellington
0:6
Nov 25, 2012 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Manawatu
3:1
Mar 11, 2012 Football Championship
Manawatu vs Team Wellington
0:6
Dec 18, 2011 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Manawatu
2:0
Mar 6, 2011 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Manawatu
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Team Wellington 85 / 100
Manawatu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Team Wellington Manawatu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Team Wellington Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Team Wellington scored in 92% of their last 37 outings.

Manawatu has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Team Wellington remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Team Wellington VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Team Wellington

(Home)
21 Mar
Auckland City
2 : 4
Team Wellington
13 Mar
Team Wellington
4 : 1
Hamilton
27 Feb
Team Wellington
3 : 2
Hamilton
20 Feb
Canterbury
0 : 2
Team Wellington
13 Feb
Team Wellington
7 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 8

Manawatu

(Away)
24 Feb
Manawatu
1 : 4
Auckland City
17 Feb
Canterbury
4 : 1
Manawatu
10 Feb
WaiBOP United
2 : 3
Manawatu
03 Feb
Manawatu
0 : 6
Team Wellington
26 Jan
Waitakere United
4 : 0
Manawatu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Waitakere United 14 12 1 1 48:12 37
2 Auckland City 14 10 3 1 44:18 33
3 Canterbury 14 9 1 4 34:19 28
4 Hawke s Bay 14 7 3 4 29:21 24
5 Team Wellington 14 7 0 7 27:21 21
6 WaiBOP United 14 3 0 11 18:48 9
7 Southern United 14 2 0 12 14:40 6
8 Manawatu 14 2 0 12 15:50 6
Promotion - Football Championship 2012/2013 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2012/2013 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2012/2013 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2012/2013 (Play Offs)