Sport Picks
Team Wellington vs Wellington Phoenix 2
New Zealand
Football Championship 
Match Events
7'
7'
Old B.
14'
14'
van Hattum O.
23'
23'
Mason-Smith S.
AI Match Summary
Team Wellington in this Football Championship matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Team Wellington.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
67%
15%
18%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Team Wellington
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ High Confidence
- Team Wellington have won more games recently than Wellington Phoenix 2.
- Team Wellington are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Football Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Team Wellington have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Team Wellington Clean Sheet 16%
Wellington Phoenix 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Team Wellington | Wellington Phoenix 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 35 |
| Wins | 18 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 2.5 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 2.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.98 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 24, 2021 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Wellington Phoenix 2
5:2
Nov 14, 2020 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Team Wellington
0:1
Feb 1, 2020 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Team Wellington
0:1
Nov 17, 2019 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Wellington Phoenix 2
2:2
Feb 6, 2019 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Wellington Phoenix 2
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Team Wellington Compare
Top Goalscorer Mason-Smith S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Bevin A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99
Wellington Phoenix 2 Compare
Top Goalscorer Old B.
1 Goals Assists Leader van Hattum O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Team Wellington 84 / 100
Wellington Phoenix 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Team Wellington Wellington Phoenix 2
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Team Wellington Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Team Wellington found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).
Wellington Phoenix 2 let in goals in 86% of their last 35 matches.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Team Wellington went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Wellington Phoenix 2
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Team Wellington
(Home) 21 Mar
Auckland City
2 : 4 Team Wellington
13 Mar
Team Wellington
4 : 1 Hamilton
27 Feb
Team Wellington
3 : 2 Hamilton
20 Feb
Canterbury
0 : 2 Team Wellington
13 Feb
Team Wellington
7 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
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13 Mar
Team Wellington
4 : 1 Hamilton
27 Feb
Team Wellington
3 : 2 Hamilton
13 Feb
Team Wellington
7 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
30 Jan
Team Wellington
3 : 4 Waitakere United
24 Jan
Team Wellington
5 : 2 Wellington Phoenix 2
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Wellington Phoenix 2
(Away) 04 Oct
Cashmere Technical
10 : 0 Wellington Phoenix 2
26 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 1 Auckland United
07 Dec
Western Suburbs
2 : 7 Wellington Phoenix 2
29 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
2 : 3 Birkenhead
22 Nov
Auckland City
2 : 0 Wellington Phoenix 2
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04 Oct
Cashmere Technical
10 : 0 Wellington Phoenix 2
07 Dec
Western Suburbs
2 : 7 Wellington Phoenix 2
22 Nov
Auckland City
2 : 0 Wellington Phoenix 2
09 Nov
Western Springs
3 : 0 Wellington Phoenix 2
18 Oct
Auckland United
0 : 0 Wellington Phoenix 2
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland City | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 27:13 | 28 |
| 2 | Team Wellington | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 35:21 | 26 |
| 3 | Hamilton | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 23:21 | 20 |
| 4 | Eastern Suburbs | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25:23 | 19 |
| 5 | Waitakere United | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 28:26 | 18 |
| 6 | Canterbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | 18 |
| 7 | Hawke s Bay | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17:29 | 13 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix 2 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18:37 | 10 |
Promotion - Football Championship (Play Offs)
