Sport Picks

Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2024/2025

TEC

2 - 0

DEM

Our Tip

Match Events

24'

Ket J.

90'

Lopez A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2024/2025 game between TEC and DEM finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TEC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%

TEC

15%

Draws

20%

DEM

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TEC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence

TEC carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans TEC's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular Derde Divisie 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

TEC Clean Sheet 20%

DEM Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	TEC	DEM
Matches Played	38	30
Wins	18	6
Draws	6	6
Losses	14	18
Goals Scored	2.05	1.37
Goals Conceded	1.68	2.67
Expected Goals (xG)	1.29	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Derde Divisie

TEC vs DEM

2:0

Sep 14, 2024 Derde Divisie

DEM vs TEC

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TEC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ket J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Lopez A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.99

Avg xA / game 0.65

DEM Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TEC 85 / 100

DEM 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

TEC DEM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: DEM conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: TEC scored in 79% of their last 38 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

TEC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TEC VS -

1.38 Goals Scored 0

0.75 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

TEC

(Home)

26 Sept

TEC

7 : 2

Eemdijk

23 Sept

Watergraafsmeer

5 : 4

TEC

20 Sept

USV Hercules

2 : 4

TEC

12 Sept

TEC

4 : 4

DVS '33 Ermelo

06 Sept

HVV Hollandia

4 : 5

TEC

Page 1 of 8

DEM

(Away)

26 Jul

DEM

3 : 5

RKAV Volendam

24 May

Excelsior 31

4 : 2

DEM

17 May

DEM

0 : 2

Genemuiden

10 May

Sportlust

3 : 0

DEM

03 May

DEM

4 : 3

Sparta Nijkerk

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	IJsselmeervogels	34	26	4	4	98:35	82
2	Harkemase Boys	34	21	7	6	74:46	70
3	Sportlust	34	20	7	7	78:37	67
4	DVS '33 Ermelo	34	19	8	7	78:52	65
5	Sparta Nijkerk	34	16	10	8	68:50	58
6	USV Hercules	34	16	6	12	65:56	54
7	VV DOVO	34	15	7	12	43:39	52
8	Genemuiden	34	13	9	12	52:44	48
9	Urk	34	15	2	17	56:67	47
10	Eemdijk	34	11	10	13	64:66	43
11	TEC	34	11	9	14	46:56	42
12	Rohda Raalte	34	11	7	16	63:68	40
13	HSC '21	34	12	4	18	50:66	40
14	Huizen	34	10	6	18	44:62	36
15	Excelsior 31	34	9	9	16	46:71	36
16	Ajax (Am)	34	9	8	17	48:64	35
17	DEM	34	8	6	20	43:85	30
18	HBC	34	1	7	26	40:92	10

Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)

Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)

Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)