Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TEC vs USV Hercules

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
TEC
20%
Draws
29%
USV Hercules
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TEC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to TEC lately — more wins on the board than USV Hercules.
  • TEC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
TEC Clean Sheet 20%
USV Hercules Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TEC USV Hercules
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Derde Divisie
TEC vs USV Hercules
0:0
Dec 14, 2025 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs TEC
0:2
Mar 23, 2025 Derde Divisie
TEC vs USV Hercules
0:0
Oct 20, 2024 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs TEC
3:1
Mar 17, 2019 Derde Divisie
TEC vs USV Hercules
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TEC 85 / 100
USV Hercules 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TEC USV Hercules

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TEC scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

USV Hercules's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

TEC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

TEC VS USV Hercules
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TEC

(Home)
22 Aug
TEC
3 : 1
Sparta Nijkerk
15 Aug
ACV Assen
1 : 0
TEC
07 Jun
TEC
3 : 0
NEO
03 Jun
NEO
1 : 0
TEC
31 May
TEC
2 : 0
Heino
Page 1 of 6

USV Hercules

(Away)
22 Aug
USV Hercules
0 : 4
Genemuiden
16 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1
USV Hercules
08 Aug
Rijnsburgse Boys
1 : 1
USV Hercules
23 May
TEC
0 : 0
USV Hercules
16 May
USV Hercules
4 : 0
Harkemase Boys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)