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Tecnico U. vs Aucas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
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Match Events

16'
Estupinan L.
26'
Delgado B.
35'
Spina A. L.

AI Match Summary

Aucas in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aucas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Tecnico U.
35%
Draws
30%
Aucas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Aucas have won more games recently than Tecnico U..
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Tecnico U. Clean Sheet 19%
Aucas Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tecnico U. Aucas
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 1 5
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.89 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.46 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Aucas
0:1
Mar 19, 2026 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Tecnico U.
0:1
Feb 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Aucas vs Tecnico U.
1:0
Jun 15, 2025 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Aucas
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Tecnico U.
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tecnico U. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Aucas Compare

Top Goalscorer Preciado E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tecnico U. 32 / 100
Aucas 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tecnico U. Aucas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Tecnico U. went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tecnico U.'s goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Aucas conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tecnico U. VS Aucas
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tecnico U.

(Home)
20 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 1
Delfin
13 Sept
Leones del Norte
0 : 1
Tecnico U.
05 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 3
LDU Quito
01 Sept
Delfin
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
29 Aug
Tecnico U.
3 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
Page 1 of 6

Aucas

(Away)
19 Sept
Aucas
1 : 2
Macara
12 Sept
Manta
0 : 0
Aucas
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1
Barcelona SC
03 Sept
U. Catolica
1 : 1
Aucas
30 Aug
Aucas
1 : 0
Libertad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)