Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tecnico U. vs Aucas

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Estupinan L.
26'
Delgado B.
35'
Spina A. L.

AI Match Summary

Aucas in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aucas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Tecnico U.
15%
Draws
64%
Aucas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aucas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Aucas have won more games recently than Tecnico U..
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Aucas taking it.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Tecnico U. Clean Sheet 13%
Aucas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tecnico U. Aucas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 2 5
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 0.79 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Aucas
0:1
Mar 19, 2026 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Tecnico U.
0:1
Feb 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Aucas vs Tecnico U.
1:0
Jun 15, 2025 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Aucas
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Tecnico U.
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tecnico U. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Aucas Compare

Top Goalscorer Preciado E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tecnico U. 22 / 100
Aucas 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tecnico U. Aucas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aucas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Tecnico U. scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Aucas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Tecnico U. remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tecnico U. VS Aucas
0.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tecnico U.

(Home)
16 Aug
Emelec
2 : 1
Tecnico U.
10 Aug
Tecnico U.
0 : 3
Mushuc Runa
01 Aug
U. Catolica
5 : 0
Tecnico U.
26 Jul
Tecnico U.
1 : 0
Manta
22 Jul
Independiente del Valle
3 : 0
Tecnico U.
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Aucas

(Away)
17 Aug
Aucas
0 : 1
LDU Quito
12 Aug
La Union
1 : 2
Aucas
08 Aug
Aucas
3 : 0
Leones del Norte
02 Aug
Emelec
0 : 2
Aucas
26 Jul
Aucas
1 : 4
Macara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 25 21 1 3 61:24 64
2 Macara 25 12 6 7 33:25 42
3 Aucas 25 12 5 8 29:26 41
4 U. Catolica 25 11 7 7 40:22 40
5 LDU Quito 25 11 5 9 24:20 38
6 Barcelona SC 25 9 9 7 25:20 36
7 Leones del Norte 25 9 8 8 26:25 35
8 Libertad 25 9 7 9 28:29 34
9 Mushuc Runa 25 8 8 9 32:34 32
10 Emelec 25 8 8 9 21:29 32
11 Dep. Cuenca 25 9 4 12 22:32 31
12 Guayaquil City 25 7 9 9 22:27 30
13 Orense 25 8 6 11 30:36 30
14 Tecnico U. 25 8 2 15 21:34 26
15 Delfin 25 6 6 13 17:27 24
16 Manta 25 4 5 16 11:32 17
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)