Sport Picks

Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista

Tecnico U.

2 - 1

Libertad

Our Tip

Match Events

Rodriguez Perlaza J. G.

36'

Castano M.

Assist: Estupinan L.

44'

Arce Y.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tecnico U. in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tecnico U..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Tecnico U.

20%

Draws

38%

Libertad

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tecnico U.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Tecnico U. has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Libertad.
Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Tecnico U..
League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Pro provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Tecnico U. Clean Sheet 20%

Libertad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tecnico U.	Libertad
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	9	5
Draws	4	8
Losses	15	14
Goals Scored	1.38	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Liga Pro

Tecnico U. vs Libertad

Possession: 52% - 42% Cards: 1 - 0

2:1

Jun 21, 2025 Liga Pro

Libertad vs Tecnico U.

Possession: 55% - 56% Cards: 4 - 3

4:1

Feb 25, 2025 Liga Pro

Tecnico U. vs Libertad

Possession: 57% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Sep 17, 2024 Liga Pro

Tecnico U. vs Libertad

Possession: 45% - 57% Cards: 1 - 2

3:0

Mar 30, 2024 Liga Pro

Libertad vs Tecnico U.

Possession: 56% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tecnico U. Compare

Top Goalscorer Castano M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Anaya J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Libertad Compare

Top Goalscorer Branda V.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tecnico U. 42 / 100

Libertad 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tecnico U. Libertad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tecnico U. scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Libertad let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Tecnico U. went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Libertad lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tecnico U. VS Libertad

1.38 Goals Scored 1.25

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	18	14	1	3	40:19	43
2	Barcelona SC	17	8	5	4	20:13	29
3	Aucas	17	8	5	4	20:16	29
4	LDU Quito	17	8	3	6	19:14	27
5	Dep. Cuenca	17	8	3	6	18:19	27
6	U. Catolica	18	7	5	6	28:18	26
7	Macara	18	7	5	6	18:18	26
8	Tecnico U.	18	7	2	9	19:19	23
9	Leones del Norte	18	6	5	7	19:19	23
10	Orense	18	6	5	7	22:24	23
11	Emelec	17	6	5	6	14:17	23
12	Mushuc Runa	18	5	6	7	23:27	21
13	Guayaquil City	17	5	4	8	14:20	19
14	Delfin	17	4	5	8	9:16	17
15	Libertad	17	4	5	8	17:25	17
16	Manta	18	3	4	11	7:23	13