Sport Picks

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Tecnico U. vs Manta

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Mina G.
45'
Chavez W.
45'
Ramirez B.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Tecnico U. and Manta finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tecnico U..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tecnico U.
44%
Draws
20%
Manta
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tecnico U. come out ahead of Manta on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Tecnico U. Clean Sheet 23%
Manta Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tecnico U. Manta
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Manta
1:0
Apr 5, 2026 Liga Pro
Manta vs Tecnico U.
0:2
Nov 29, 2025 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Manta
2:3
Oct 19, 2025 Liga Pro
Manta vs Tecnico U.
2:0
Aug 3, 2025 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Manta
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tecnico U. Compare

Top Goalscorer Guardia H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Manta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tecnico U. 37 / 100
Manta 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tecnico U. Manta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manta has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Manta's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Tecnico U. found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Tecnico U. VS Manta
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tecnico U.

(Home)
26 Jul
Tecnico U.
1 : 0
Manta
22 Jul
Independiente del Valle
3 : 0
Tecnico U.
19 Jul
Tecnico U.
0 : 1
Aucas
15 Jul
Libertad
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
11 Jul
Tecnico U.
0 : 2
Macara
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Manta

(Away)
26 Jul
Tecnico U.
1 : 0
Manta
23 Jul
Manta
1 : 1
LDU Quito
19 Jul
Guayaquil City
1 : 0
Manta
15 Jul
Manta
0 : 1
Delfin
11 Jul
Manta
0 : 0
Orense
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle22181355:2255
2U. Catolica21105633:1935
3Macara22105728:2235
4Aucas22105724:2535
5Barcelona SC2297623:1734
6LDU Quito2295821:1732
7Leones del Norte2287723:2131
8Emelec2177718:2428
9Dep. Cuenca2184919:2628
10Guayaquil City2176819:2327
11Tecnico U.22821220:2426
12Orense22751027:3226
13Mushuc Runa2167827:3125
14Libertad2166919:2624
15Delfin22651113:2123
16Manta2235148:2714
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)