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Tecnico U. vs Manta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
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Match Events

43'
Mina G.
45'
Chavez W.
45'
Ramirez B.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Tecnico U. and Manta finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tecnico U..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tecnico U.
20%
Draws
40%
Manta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tecnico U. come out ahead of Manta on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Tecnico U. Clean Sheet 13%
Manta Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tecnico U. Manta
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 1 5
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0.89 0.62
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Manta
1:0
Apr 5, 2026 Liga Pro
Manta vs Tecnico U.
0:2
Nov 29, 2025 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Manta
2:3
Oct 19, 2025 Liga Pro
Manta vs Tecnico U.
2:0
Aug 3, 2025 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Manta
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tecnico U. Compare

Top Goalscorer Guardia H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Manta Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tecnico U. 35 / 100
Manta 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tecnico U. Manta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manta has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Tecnico U. stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tecnico U. found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Tecnico U. VS Manta
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tecnico U.

(Home)
20 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 1
Delfin
13 Sept
Leones del Norte
0 : 1
Tecnico U.
05 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 3
LDU Quito
01 Sept
Delfin
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
29 Aug
Tecnico U.
3 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
Page 1 of 6

Manta

(Away)
21 Sept
Manta
2 : 1
Orense
12 Sept
Manta
0 : 0
Aucas
08 Sept
Emelec
1 : 0
Manta
02 Sept
Macara
4 : 3
Manta
30 Aug
Manta
2 : 0
Barcelona SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)