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Tefana vs Malampa Revivors

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2019 Stade Louis Ganivet
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tefana play Malampa Revivors in the OFC Champions League 2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tefana averaged 1.87 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. Malampa Revivors averaged 1.56 goals scored and 3.67 conceded. In past meetings, Tefana won 0, Malampa Revivors won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 16, 2019 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.88 for Tefana and 1.81 for Malampa Revivors. This points to a Tefana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Tefana
23%
Draws
30%
Malampa Revivors
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Tefana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Tefana picked up more points recently compared to Malampa Revivors.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.88 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 95%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Tefana Clean Sheet 11%
Malampa Revivors Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tefana Malampa Revivors
Matches Played 30 9
Wins 8 1
Draws 6 3
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.87 1.56
Goals Conceded 2.17 3.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 4.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2019 OFC Champions League
Tefana vs Malampa Revivors
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tefana Compare

Top Goalscorer Krissian R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Viritua T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Malampa Revivors Compare

Top Goalscorer Batick A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aru C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tefana 45 / 100
Malampa Revivors 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tefana Malampa Revivors

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tefana or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tefana attacking → ← attacking Malampa Revivors

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tefana scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Malampa Revivors let in goals in 89% of their last 9 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Tefana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Malampa Revivors lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

European tournament. Big stakes for both clubs, so expect a tense, high-pressure match.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 6
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hienghene Sport32107:17
2Lae City31208:65
3Tefana30216:72
4Malampa Revivors30125:121
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Central Sport321012:47
2Henderson Eels320115:86
3Lautoka311112:84
4Morobe Wawens30030:190
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Team Wellington330018:09
2Ba31116:44
3Erakor Golden Star31113:44
4Kiwi30031:200
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Auckland City330023:19
2Magenta320114:36
3Solomon Warriors310210:103
4Tupapa30032:350