Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tefana vs Mont Dore

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2011/2012 Stade Louis Ganivet, Faaa
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
71' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League 2011/2012 game between Tefana and Mont Dore finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tefana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Tefana
35%
Draws
16%
Mont Dore
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tefana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Mont Dore haven't matched Tefana's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Tefana's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2011/2012 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Tefana Clean Sheet 10%
Mont Dore Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tefana Mont Dore
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 8 1
Draws 6 2
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.87 0.95
Goals Conceded 2.17 3.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2012 OFC Champions League
Tefana vs Mont Dore
2:0
Nov 12, 2011 OFC Champions League
Mont Dore vs Tefana
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tefana 83 / 100
Mont Dore 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tefana Mont Dore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tefana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mont Dore's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 19 matches.

Attacking prowess: Tefana scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Tefana remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tefana VS Mont Dore
2.75 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Tefana

(Home)
16 Mar
Tefana
1 : 2
Pirae
13 Mar
Pirae
1 : 1
Tefana
16 Feb
Tefana
3 : 3
Malampa Revivors
13 Feb
Hienghene Sport
1 : 0
Tefana
10 Feb
Lae City
3 : 3
Tefana
Page 1 of 6

Mont Dore

(Away)
28 Apr
Mont Dore
2 : 3
Waitakere United
24 Apr
AS Dragon
1 : 1
Mont Dore
17 Apr
Waitakere United
3 : 1
Mont Dore
13 Apr
Auckland City
12 : 2
Mont Dore
05 Apr
Mont Dore
1 : 4
AS Dragon
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tefana 6 4 1 1 15:12 13
2 Waitakere United 6 4 0 2 21:6 12
3 Ba 6 3 0 3 7:16 9
4 Mont Dore 6 0 1 5 2:11 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2011/2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 6 4 1 1 17:8 13
2 PNG Hekari 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
3 Amicale 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
4 Koloale 6 1 0 5 7:18 3
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2011/2012 (Play Offs)