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Tefik Canga vs Rilindja - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kosovo Kosovo

Liga e Pare
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tefik Canga host Rilindja in the Liga e Pare. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Tefik Canga at 1.1 goals for, 1.79 against; Rilindja at 1.06 for, 1.58 against. Head-to-head, Tefik Canga have won 2 to Rilindja's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.63 - 1.88) back Rilindja to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Tefik Canga
30%
Draws
58%
Rilindja
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rilindja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Rilindja carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Rilindja taking it.
  • Regular Liga e Pare form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Tefik Canga Clean Sheet 10%
Rilindja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tefik Canga Rilindja
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Liga e Pare
Rilindja vs Tefik Canga
0:2
Aug 23, 2025 Liga e Pare
Tefik Canga vs Rilindja
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tefik Canga 18 / 100
Rilindja 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tefik Canga Rilindja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rilindja Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rilindja has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Tefik Canga's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Tefik Canga remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tefik Canga VS Rilindja
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tefik Canga

(Home)
03 Oct
KF Lepenci
2 : 1
Tefik Canga
27 Sept
Tefik Canga
1 : 1
Kika
21 Sept
Trepca Mitrovice
1 : 0
Tefik Canga
11 Sept
Tefik Canga
0 : 1
Dinamo Ferizaj
06 Sept
Mitrovica
2 : 2
Tefik Canga
Page 1 of 6

Rilindja

(Away)
03 Oct
Rilindja
0 : 2
Istogu
27 Sept
KF Lepenci
0 : 2
Rilindja
19 Sept
Rilindja
2 : 1
Vjosa
11 Sept
Kika
0 : 3
Rilindja
05 Sept
Rilindja
1 : 1
Trepca 89
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Ferizaj 8 5 3 0 16:4 18
2 Liria 7 5 1 1 9:4 16
3 Prishtina e Re 8 5 0 3 14:10 15
4 Rilindja 8 4 2 2 11:8 14
5 Trepca 89 8 3 4 1 8:5 13
6 Suhareka 8 3 3 2 15:10 12
7 2 Korriku 8 3 2 3 6:5 11
8 Trepca Mitrovice 8 3 2 3 7:12 11
9 Ferizaj 8 2 4 2 9:5 10
10 Istogu 8 3 1 4 7:12 10
11 Vellaznimi 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
12 Vjosa 8 2 3 3 9:8 9
13 Kika 8 1 6 1 4:6 9
14 Ramiz Sadiku 8 1 5 2 9:11 8
15 Besa Peja 8 2 2 4 6:8 8
16 KF Lepenci 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Mitrovica 7 0 4 3 5:11 4
18 Tefik Canga 8 0 3 5 7:13 3
Promotion - Superliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga (Relegation)