Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Unilever Stadium Shintomi, Miyazaki

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

1 - 0

Oita Trinita

Our Tip

Match Events

18'

Matsumoto Y.

45'

Watanabe E.

Assist: Yamauchi R.

46'

Sub

Inoue R. In: Take H.

Out: Inoue R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Tegevajaro Miyazaki and Oita Trinita finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tegevajaro Miyazaki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

28%

Draws

22%

Oita Trinita

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Tegevajaro Miyazaki carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Tegevajaro Miyazaki a 50% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Tegevajaro Miyazaki have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 44%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Clean Sheet 68%

Oita Trinita Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	Oita Trinita
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	22	11
Draws	2	3
Losses	6	16
Goals Scored	1.5	0.75
Goals Conceded	0.75	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 J2/J3 League

Oita Trinita vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki

1:2

Mar 14, 2026 J2/J3 League

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Oita Trinita

1:0

Jan 26, 2025 Club Friendly

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Oita Trinita

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Compare

Top Goalscorer Watanabe E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Oita Trinita Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 59 / 100

Oita Trinita 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Oita Trinita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEG Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tegevajaro Miyazaki found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Oita Trinita registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tegevajaro Miyazaki VS Oita Trinita

1.5 Goals Scored 0.75

0.75 Goals Conceded 1

50% Over 1.5 38%

50% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

(Home)

15 Jul

Yokohama F. Marinos

1 : 1

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

06 Jun

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

2 : 1

Kofu

30 May

Toyama

1 : 0

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

24 May

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

2 : 3

Reilac Shiga

17 May

Oita Trinita

1 : 2

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Page 1 of 6

Oita Trinita

(Away)

07 Jun

Oita Trinita

1 : 0

Montedio Yamagata

30 May

Nara Club

4 : 3

Oita Trinita

24 May

Gainare Tottori

1 : 0

Oita Trinita

17 May

Oita Trinita

1 : 2

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

10 May

Oita Trinita

0 : 1

Sagan Tosu

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)

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League Standings (Group 2)

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Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

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League Standings (Group 3)

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Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

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League Standings (Group 4)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15

Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)

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