Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Unilever Stadium Shintomi

Reilac Shiga

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tegevajaro Miyazaki play Reilac Shiga in the J2/J3 League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tegevajaro Miyazaki averaged 1.93 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. Reilac Shiga averaged 0.96 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. In past meetings, Tegevajaro Miyazaki won 0, Reilac Shiga won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 0.81 for Reilac Shiga. This points to a Tegevajaro Miyazaki double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

15%

Draws

30%

Reilac Shiga

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

Tegevajaro Miyazaki picked up more points recently compared to Reilac Shiga.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 0.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 56%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Clean Sheet 26%

Reilac Shiga Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	Reilac Shiga
Matches Played	29	26
Wins	22	9
Draws	1	1
Losses	6	16
Goals Scored	1.93	0.96
Goals Conceded	0.83	1.69
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 J2/J3 League

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Reilac Shiga

Possession: 57% - 42% Cards: 4 - 0

2:3

Mar 29, 2026 J2/J3 League

Reilac Shiga vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Possession: 42% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Compare

Top Goalscorer Sato R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Reilac Shiga Compare

Top Goalscorer Hitomi T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ide K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 55 / 100

Reilac Shiga 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Reilac Shiga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tegevajaro Miyazaki Win (1)

Secondary Pick Tegevajaro Miyazaki & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.1%

2.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12%

2.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tegevajaro Miyazaki attacking → ← attacking Reilac Shiga

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tegevajaro Miyazaki scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Reilac Shiga let in goals in 81% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Reilac Shiga lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

67 Points in last 5 28

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15