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Stadium Background

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Reilac Shiga

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Unilever Stadium Shintomi, Miyazaki
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Logo

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Sun, May 24, 2026
2 - 3
05:00 AM
Reilac Shiga Logo

Reilac Shiga

Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Kinoshita R.
12'
Fujitani S.
20' Event
Inoue R.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Reilac Shiga in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Reilac Shiga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
15%
Draws
42%
Reilac Shiga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Tegevajaro Miyazaki have won more games recently than Reilac Shiga.
  • Model gives Reilac Shiga a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Clean Sheet 16%
Reilac Shiga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tegevajaro Miyazaki Reilac Shiga
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 13
Draws 3 0
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.59 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 J2/J3 League
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Reilac Shiga
2:3
Mar 29, 2026 J2/J3 League
Reilac Shiga vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Compare

Top Goalscorer Sato R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Reilac Shiga Compare

Top Goalscorer Hitomi T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ide K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 28 / 100
Reilac Shiga 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Reilac Shiga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Reilac Shiga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tegevajaro Miyazaki scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Reilac Shiga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Reilac Shiga registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tegevajaro Miyazaki VS Reilac Shiga
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

(Home)
18 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 3
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
12 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2
Fujieda MYFC
05 Sept
Sagan Tosu
2 : 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
02 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 2
Toyama
29 Aug
Vegalta Sendai
4 : 2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Page 1 of 6

Reilac Shiga

(Away)
20 Sept
Reilac Shiga
3 : 0
Ryukyu
13 Sept
Reilac Shiga
1 : 2
Kagoshima United
09 Sept
Reilac Shiga
0 : 1
Verdy
05 Sept
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 3
Reilac Shiga
30 Aug
Reilac Shiga
0 : 1
Gainare Tottori
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)