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Stadium Background

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Ryukyu

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Unilever Stadium Shintomi, Miyazaki
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Logo

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

1 - 0
FT
Ryukyu Logo

Ryukyu

Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Ano M.
61'
Sub
Jennings C. In: Sato M.
Out: Jennings C.
71'
Sato M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Tegevajaro Miyazaki and Ryukyu finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tegevajaro Miyazaki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
15%
Draws
37%
Ryukyu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Ryukyu haven't matched Tegevajaro Miyazaki's recent run of results.
  • Tegevajaro Miyazaki are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tegevajaro Miyazaki have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Clean Sheet 68%
Ryukyu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tegevajaro Miyazaki Ryukyu
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 10
Draws 3 2
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.59 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 J2/J3 League
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Ryukyu
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 J2/J3 League
Ryukyu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0:2
Sep 27, 2025 J3 League
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Ryukyu
4:2
Apr 20, 2025 J3 League
Ryukyu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1:1
Sep 15, 2024 J3 League
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Ryukyu
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Compare

Top Goalscorer Ano M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ryukyu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 50 / 100
Ryukyu 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Ryukyu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tegevajaro Miyazaki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tegevajaro Miyazaki scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Ryukyu conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tegevajaro Miyazaki VS Ryukyu
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

(Home)
26 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
18 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 3
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
12 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2
Fujieda MYFC
05 Sept
Sagan Tosu
2 : 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
02 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 2
Toyama
Page 1 of 6

Ryukyu

(Away)
26 Sept
Ryukyu
1 : 1
Ehime
20 Sept
Reilac Shiga
3 : 0
Ryukyu
13 Sept
Ryukyu
1 : 0
Kamatamare Sanuki
09 Sept
Ryukyu
3 : 0
Giravanz Kitakyushu
05 Sept
Kagoshima United
2 : 1
Ryukyu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)