Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Unilever Stadium Shintomi, Miyazaki

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

1 - 0

Ryukyu

Our Tip

Match Events

34'

Ano M.

61'

Sub

Jennings C. In: Sato M.

Out: Jennings C.

71'

Sato M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Tegevajaro Miyazaki and Ryukyu finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tegevajaro Miyazaki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

20%

Draws

38%

Ryukyu

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Ryukyu haven't matched Tegevajaro Miyazaki's recent run of results.
Tegevajaro Miyazaki are the model's pick here, at 42%.
Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Tegevajaro Miyazaki have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Clean Sheet 20%

Ryukyu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	Ryukyu
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	22	9
Draws	2	3
Losses	6	18
Goals Scored	1.5	1.13
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 J2/J3 League

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Ryukyu

1:0

Feb 28, 2026 J2/J3 League

Ryukyu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki

0:2

Sep 27, 2025 J3 League

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Ryukyu

4:2

Apr 20, 2025 J3 League

Ryukyu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki

1:1

Sep 15, 2024 J3 League

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Ryukyu

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Compare

Top Goalscorer Ano M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Ryukyu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 42 / 100

Ryukyu 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Ryukyu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tegevajaro Miyazaki scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Ryukyu conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tegevajaro Miyazaki VS Ryukyu

1.5 Goals Scored 1.13

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38

50% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

(Home)

15 Jul

Yokohama F. Marinos

1 : 1

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

06 Jun

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

2 : 1

Kofu

30 May

Toyama

1 : 0

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

24 May

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

2 : 3

Reilac Shiga

17 May

Oita Trinita

1 : 2

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Page 1 of 6

Ryukyu

(Away)

17 Jul

Ryukyu

5 : 4

Urawa Reds

07 Jun

Fukushima United

2 : 1

Ryukyu

31 May

Imabari

1 : 2

Ryukyu

23 May

Sagan Tosu

2 : 3

Ryukyu

17 May

Ryukyu

1 : 3

Gainare Tottori

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

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League Standings (Group 2)

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Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

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League Standings (Group 3)

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Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

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League Standings (Group 4)

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Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15

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