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Teixeira de Freitas vs Catuense

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2016
Teixeira de Freitas Logo

Teixeira de Freitas

1 - 0
FT
Catuense Logo

Catuense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2016 game between Teixeira de Freitas and Catuense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Teixeira de Freitas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Teixeira de Freitas
15%
Draws
85%
Catuense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Catuense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Teixeira de Freitas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Catuense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Teixeira de Freitas Clean Sheet 18%
Catuense Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Teixeira de Freitas Catuense
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 23 15
Goals Scored 0.68 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2016 Baiano 2
Teixeira de Freitas vs Catuense
1:0
Aug 13, 2016 Baiano 2
Catuense vs Teixeira de Freitas
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Teixeira de Freitas 23 / 100
Catuense 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Teixeira de Freitas Catuense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Catuense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catuense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Catuense's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Teixeira de Freitas found the back of the net in 39% of recent matches (38 games).

Scoring Trends

Teixeira de Freitas VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Teixeira de Freitas

(Home)
29 Jun
Teixeira de Freitas
0 : 3
Galicia
21 Jun
EC Ypiranga
3 : 0
Teixeira de Freitas
15 Jun
Leonico
3 : 0
Teixeira de Freitas
08 Jun
Teixeira de Freitas
0 : 3
Itabuna
31 May
Fluminense de Feira
2 : 0
Teixeira de Freitas
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Catuense

(Away)
11 Sept
EC Ypiranga
4 : 1
Catuense
07 Sept
Catuense
5 : 3
Juazeiro
03 Sept
Alagoinhas
1 : 0
Catuense
27 Aug
Atlantico EC
5 : 1
Catuense
20 Aug
Teixeira de Freitas
1 : 0
Catuense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teixeira de Freitas 10 7 0 3 20:11 21
2 Atlantico EC 10 5 3 2 16:10 18
3 EC Ypiranga 10 5 2 3 20:14 17
4 Alagoinhas 10 3 3 4 11:14 12
5 Catuense 10 3 2 5 12:19 11
6 Juazeiro 10 1 2 7 12:23 5
Promotion - Baiano 2 2016 (Play Offs)