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Stadium Background

Teixeira de Freitas vs Vitoria da Conquista

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Teixeira de Freitas play Vitoria da Conquista in the Baiano 2 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Teixeira de Freitas averaged 0.69 goals scored and 1.91 conceded. Vitoria da Conquista averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Teixeira de Freitas won 0, Vitoria da Conquista won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 24, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Teixeira de Freitas and 1.69 for Vitoria da Conquista. This points to a Vitoria da Conquista double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Teixeira de Freitas
23%
Draws
50%
Vitoria da Conquista
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Vitoria da Conquista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Teixeira de Freitas picked up more points recently compared to Vitoria da Conquista.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Teixeira de Freitas Clean Sheet 13%
Vitoria da Conquista Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Teixeira de Freitas Vitoria da Conquista
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.69 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.91 1.37
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Baiano 2
Teixeira de Freitas vs Vitoria da Conquista
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Teixeira de Freitas Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Vitoria da Conquista Compare

Top Goalscorer Eder
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Teixeira de Freitas 27 / 100
Vitoria da Conquista 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Teixeira de Freitas Vitoria da Conquista

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vitoria da Conquista or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Teixeira de Freitas attacking → ← attacking Vitoria da Conquista

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Teixeira de Freitas scored in 38% of their last 32 games.

Vitoria da Conquista let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Teixeira de Freitas went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Vitoria da Conquista lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 36
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Itabuna972020:723
2Bahia de Feira962128:520
3Fluminense de Feira962116:520
4Galicia943220:915
5EC Ypiranga934211:913
6Vitoria da Conquista83238:1111
7SSA924310:810
8Leonico821512:207
9Grapiuna90184:311
10Teixeira de Freitas90180:240